ACGL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -1.6% | 3.1% | 35% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.7% | 3.0% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.6% | 1.8% | 55% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | -0.1% | 5.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 2.46 | 2.56 | +4.0% | -4.2% | -1.8% | -5.2% | -5.5% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 2.46 | 2.50 | +1.5% | -1.2% | -4.5% | +2.1% | -3.6% |
| 2026-02-09 beat | 2.57 | 2.98 | +15.8% | -0.2% | +1.9% | +0.2% | -3.7% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 2.25 | 2.77 | +22.9% | +1.3% | -1.4% | +3.2% | +11.4% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 2.30 | 2.58 | +12.2% | +4.3% | -0.6% | +4.8% | +6.5% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 1.31 | 1.54 | +17.2% | -4.3% | -1.9% | +2.2% | +4.8% |
| 2025-02-10 beat | 1.80 | 2.26 | +25.5% | -2.1% | -2.0% | -1.0% | +0.9% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 2.10 | 2.56 | +22.2% | -2.9% | -6.3% | +1.3% | +0.8% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 2.21 | 2.57 | +16.5% | +2.0% | -2.5% | +1.1% | +17.8% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 2.09 | 2.45 | +17.2% | +1.4% | +2.5% | +5.0% | +8.4% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 2.01 | 2.49 | +23.9% | +1.8% | +3.0% | -0.1% | +4.6% |
| 2023-10-30 beat | 1.57 | 2.31 | +47.0% | +2.8% | +4.6% | -1.5% | -3.4% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 1.59 | 1.92 | +21.1% | +3.3% | -2.9% | -2.9% | -6.3% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.45 | 1.73 | +19.3% | +0.5% | +2.2% | -1.3% | -3.9% |
| 2023-02-13 beat | 1.34 | 2.14 | +60.3% | +1.1% | +1.6% | +2.5% | -0.3% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 0.18 | 0.28 | +52.9% | +2.0% | +5.9% | +9.4% | +12.2% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 1.07 | 1.34 | +24.7% | +1.6% | -2.2% | +0.6% | +7.4% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 1.07 | 1.10 | +2.6% | -3.9% | -2.4% | -0.7% | +1.5% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 0.99 | 1.27 | +28.1% | +0.5% | -1.8% | -0.9% | -2.2% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.35 | 0.74 | +114.2% | +1.3% | -0.7% | +0.3% | -0.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.