ACGL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 2.4% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.1% | 2.1% | 48% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | +0.1% | 3.6% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 2.46 | 2.56 | +4.0% | -4.2% | -1.8% | -5.2% | -5.5% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 2.46 | 2.50 | +1.5% | -1.2% | -4.5% | +2.1% | -3.6% |
| 2026-02-09 beat | 2.57 | 2.98 | +15.8% | -0.2% | +1.9% | +0.2% | -3.7% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 2.25 | 2.77 | +22.9% | +1.3% | -1.4% | +3.2% | +11.4% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 2.30 | 2.58 | +12.2% | +4.3% | -0.6% | +4.8% | +6.5% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 1.31 | 1.54 | +17.2% | -4.3% | -1.9% | +2.2% | +4.8% |
| 2025-02-10 beat | 1.80 | 2.26 | +25.5% | -2.1% | -2.0% | -1.0% | +0.9% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 2.10 | 2.56 | +22.2% | -2.9% | -6.3% | +1.3% | +0.8% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 2.21 | 2.57 | +16.5% | +2.0% | -2.5% | +1.1% | +17.8% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 2.09 | 2.45 | +17.2% | +1.4% | +2.5% | +5.0% | +8.4% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 2.01 | 2.49 | +23.9% | +1.8% | +3.0% | -0.1% | +4.6% |
| 2023-10-30 beat | 1.57 | 2.31 | +47.0% | +2.8% | +4.6% | -1.5% | -3.4% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 1.59 | 1.92 | +21.1% | +3.3% | -2.9% | -2.9% | -6.3% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.45 | 1.73 | +19.3% | +0.5% | +2.2% | -1.3% | -3.9% |
| 2023-02-13 beat | 1.34 | 2.14 | +60.3% | +1.1% | +1.6% | +2.5% | -0.3% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 0.18 | 0.28 | +52.9% | +2.0% | +5.9% | +9.4% | +12.2% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 1.07 | 1.34 | +24.7% | +1.6% | -2.2% | +0.6% | +7.4% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 1.07 | 1.10 | +2.6% | -3.9% | -2.4% | -0.7% | +1.5% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 0.99 | 1.27 | +28.1% | +0.5% | -1.8% | -0.9% | -2.2% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.35 | 0.74 | +114.2% | +1.3% | -0.7% | +0.3% | -0.7% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 0.84 | 1.00 | +19.7% | +1.4% | +1.2% | +3.9% | +8.4% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 0.45 | 0.59 | +32.0% | +0.9% | -2.5% | +1.8% | +0.5% |
| 2021-02-09 beat | 0.38 | 0.56 | +49.0% | +2.3% | -0.6% | +0.1% | +7.8% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.17 | 0.29 | +69.3% | +1.4% | -0.7% | +4.4% | +9.3% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | -0.17 | 0.04 | +123.4% | -2.7% | +0.8% | +0.7% | +3.7% |
| 2020-05-04 beat | 0.41 | 0.46 | +12.5% | +3.5% | -0.3% | -0.4% | +38.1% |
| 2020-02-11 beat | 0.68 | 0.74 | +8.7% | -1.0% | -1.5% | +1.8% | -30.3% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +0.8% | +0.7% | +2.4% | -1.6% | -0.1% |
| 2019-07-29 beat | 0.67 | 0.77 | +14.9% | +1.2% | +3.5% | -1.7% | -0.6% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 0.61 | 0.67 | +9.2% | +0.7% | +0.2% | -0.9% | +1.7% |
| 2019-02-12 beat | 0.38 | 0.46 | +20.3% | +0.6% | +3.7% | +1.0% | +2.8% |
| 2018-10-30 beat | 0.52 | 0.59 | +14.2% | +2.7% | +2.6% | -0.7% | +0.9% |
| 2018-07-31 beat | 0.53 | 0.59 | +11.9% | -1.0% | -1.6% | +0.8% | +1.8% |
| 2018-05-01 beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +9.1% | +0.9% | -2.1% | +0.6% | +1.1% |
| 2018-02-12 beat | 0.37 | 0.45 | +19.9% | +0.1% | +0.6% | +1.6% | -3.6% |
| 2017-10-25 miss | -0.21 | -0.26 | -23.6% | -1.1% | -1.5% | -5.2% | -4.3% |
| 2017-07-26 beat | 0.40 | 0.40 | +1.0% | +0.1% | -4.5% | +3.3% | +3.0% |
| 2017-04-25 beat | 0.44 | 0.47 | +7.3% | +0.5% | +1.0% | -0.9% | -2.5% |
| 2017-02-13 beat | 0.32 | 0.38 | +16.5% | -0.4% | -0.2% | +1.3% | +2.7% |
| 2016-10-26 beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +11.6% | +0.6% | -2.4% | +1.0% | +6.0% |
| 2016-07-27 beat | 0.32 | 0.38 | +17.2% | +3.0% | +4.1% | +2.5% | +9.7% |
| 2016-04-27 beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +5.9% | +0.2% | -1.0% | +0.1% | +2.1% |
| 2016-02-09 beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +8.1% | +4.8% | +1.5% | -0.7% | +1.8% |
| 2015-10-28 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +5.4% | +0.7% | +0.0% | -4.0% | -6.7% |
| 2015-07-29 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +8.2% | +5.3% | +2.5% | -0.4% | -5.4% |
| 2015-04-28 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +8.1% | +2.0% | -0.5% | +1.6% | +5.2% |
| 2015-02-10 beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +11.7% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% | +2.1% |
| 2014-10-29 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +10.6% | +0.5% | -0.1% | +1.6% | +1.5% |
| 2014-07-31 beat | 0.33 | 0.39 | +19.4% | +2.7% | +1.7% | +0.4% | +2.1% |
| 2014-05-01 beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +13.4% | +0.5% | -0.9% | -0.2% | +0.1% |
| 2014-02-11 beat | 0.32 | 0.37 | +17.1% | +1.4% | +0.0% | +2.6% | +6.0% |
| 2013-10-28 beat | 0.30 | 0.37 | +21.0% | +2.0% | +0.7% | -0.6% | +1.7% |
| 2013-07-25 beat | 0.27 | 0.33 | +20.6% | +0.7% | +0.5% | -0.4% | -2.4% |
| 2013-04-29 beat | 0.32 | 0.39 | +21.8% | +1.0% | +0.2% | +1.5% | -1.7% |
| 2013-02-11 beat | -0.18 | -0.06 | +65.8% | +0.3% | -2.3% | -0.7% | +7.2% |
| 2012-11-01 beat | 0.25 | 0.29 | +14.3% | -2.6% | -4.6% | +0.4% | +4.5% |
| 2012-07-25 beat | 0.27 | 0.34 | +27.9% | +0.6% | -2.0% | +2.2% | +5.0% |
| 2012-04-25 beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +14.3% | -0.5% | +0.2% | +0.2% | -2.1% |
| 2012-02-14 beat | 0.21 | 0.31 | +46.1% | +1.2% | +0.9% | -3.2% | -3.5% |
| 2011-10-25 beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +21.1% | +1.8% | +0.6% | -0.8% | +0.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.