ACGL

Arch Capital Group Ltd.
100.34 -1.95% 2026-10-27

Analysts 12 firms · 5 buy · 7 hold · target 109 +9% (95–134)

Last 90d 1 insider sale

52-week range
82.45 107.09
1-month+5.7%
3-month-4.0%
1-year+15.1%
3-year+21.2%
5-year+138.5%
vs 50-day+2.8%
vs 200-day+3.9%
Volatility21%
Beta-0.36
$ vol/day$247M
ATH116.47
From ATH-13.8%
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2026AprJulOct

bought sold · bigger dot, bigger trade · follows the chart’s range

WhenPeople SizeValuePrice
2mo sell 1 $1,093,529 98.92
5mo sell 1 $58,980 89.31
6mo sell 1 $34,280 94.19
6mo buy 1 $498,677 93.86
8mo sell 3 $2,732,696 94.31
8mo sell 1 $4,558,972 98.84
10mo sell 1 $19,970,865 95.53
11mo sell 1 $756,960 92.68
1.2y sell 1 $941,500 92.56
1.2y buy 1 $17,340 88.47
1.4y sell 1 $1,194,545 94.37
1.5y sell 1 $9,329,292 92.14
1.5y sell 1 $1,573,924 94.41
1.5y sell 1 $706,177 92.53
1.6y sell 1 $1,927,262 90.72
2.2y sell 1 $1,174,192 97.86
2.5y sell 1 $966,400 92.99
2.6y sell 1 $5,251,200 83.23
2.6y sell 2 $6,621,017 83.75
2.9y sell 1 $5,148,000 82.58
3.0y sell 1 $29,904,153 81.07
3.0y sell 1 $657,752 81.04
3.4y sell 1 $15,220,000 70.53
3.5y sell 3 $5,000,527 73.00
3.5y sell 1 $5,283,600 70.13
3.5y sell 1 $2,733,956 72.09
3.7y sell 1 $2,104,800 68.20
3.7y sell 1 $1,069,185 64.41
3.7y sell 1 $1,764,306 64.13
4.0y sell 1 — 53.61
4.0y sell 1 — 54.00
4.0y sell 1 — 54.95
4.0y sell 1 $2,854,500 53.56
4.0y buy 1 $35,200 53.86
4.2y sell 1 — 44.38
4.2y sell 1 — 45.21
4.2y sell 1 $1,090,876 44.32
4.2y sell 1 $792,244 44.35
4.4y sell 1 $575,873 44.81
4.5y buy 1 $38,460 43.54
4.6y sell 1 $572,592 44.56
4.9y sell 2 $1,260,732 39.88
5.0y sell 1 $1,349,559 39.63
5.0y buy 1 $19,977,749 39.63
5.2y sell 1 $210,200 40.20
5.4y sell 1 $100,960 37.39
5.4y sell 1 $1,481,625 37.91
5.4y sell 2 $1,443,089 38.09
5.5y sell 1 $602,250 38.25
5.5y sell 1 $1,207,091 37.55
2026AprJulOct

bought sold · bigger dot, bigger trade · follows the chart’s range

AAAlan Armstrong 1B 7mo JSJefferson Shreve 1B1S 1.5y RBRob Bresnahan 1S 1.7y DPDean Phillips 1B 5.8y CACindy Axne 1B 5.9y

5 members · 4 buys / 2 sells · $34K–$160K disclosed · latest filing Jul 21, 2026 · full tracker ›

WhenMemberSize AmountPrice then
7mo buy AA Alan Armstrong $1K–$15K 93.42
1.5y sell JS Jefferson Shreve $15K–$50K 94.63
1.7y sell RB Rob Bresnahan $1K–$15K 90.35
1.7y buy JS Jefferson Shreve $15K–$50K 89.55
5.8y buy DP Dean Phillips $1K–$15K 34.65
5.9y buy CA Cindy Axne $1K–$15K 33.22

Day-after move, last 12 reports, oldest left.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGapDay 1Day 5
2026-10-27 beat 2.30 2.67 +15.9% — — —
2026-07-28 beat 2.46 2.56 +4.0% -4.2% -1.8% -6.9%
2026-04-28 beat 2.46 2.50 +1.5% -1.2% -4.5% -2.4%
2026-02-09 beat 2.57 2.98 +15.8% -0.2% +1.9% +2.1%
2025-10-27 beat 2.25 2.77 +22.9% +1.3% -1.4% +1.8%
2025-07-29 beat 2.30 2.58 +12.2% +4.3% -0.6% +4.2%
2025-04-29 beat 1.31 1.54 +17.2% -4.3% -1.9% +0.3%
2025-02-10 beat 1.80 2.26 +25.5% -2.1% -2.0% -3.0%
2024-10-30 beat 2.10 2.56 +22.2% -2.9% -6.3% -5.1%
2024-07-30 beat 2.21 2.57 +16.5% +2.0% -2.5% -1.4%
2024-04-29 beat 2.09 2.45 +17.2% +1.4% +2.5% +7.6%
2024-02-14 beat 2.01 2.49 +23.9% +1.8% +3.0% +2.9%
2023-10-30 beat 1.57 2.31 +47.0% +2.8% +4.6% +3.1%
2023-07-26 beat 1.59 1.92 +21.1% +3.3% -2.9% -5.7%
2023-04-26 beat 1.45 1.73 +19.3% +0.5% +2.2% +0.9%
2023-02-13 beat 1.34 2.14 +60.3% +1.1% +1.6% +4.1%
2022-10-26 beat 0.18 0.28 +52.9% +2.0% +5.9% +15.9%
2022-07-27 beat 1.07 1.34 +24.7% +1.6% -2.2% -1.6%
2022-04-27 beat 1.07 1.10 +2.6% -3.9% -2.4% -3.1%
2022-02-09 beat 0.99 1.27 +28.1% +0.5% -1.8% -2.7%
2021-10-27 beat 0.35 0.74 +114.2% +1.3% -0.7% -0.4%
2021-07-28 beat 0.84 1.00 +19.7% +1.4% +1.2% +5.1%
2021-04-27 beat 0.45 0.59 +32.0% +0.9% -2.5% -0.7%
2021-02-09 beat 0.38 0.56 +49.0% +2.3% -0.6% -0.5%
2020-10-29 beat 0.17 0.29 +69.3% +1.4% -0.7% +3.7%
2020-07-29 beat -0.17 0.04 +123.4% -2.7% +0.8% +1.5%
2020-05-04 beat 0.41 0.46 +12.5% +3.5% -0.3% -0.6%
2020-02-11 beat 0.68 0.74 +8.7% -1.0% -1.5% +0.3%
2019-10-29 beat 0.62 0.63 +0.8% +0.7% +2.4% +0.7%
2019-07-29 beat 0.67 0.77 +14.9% +1.2% +3.5% +1.8%
2019-04-30 beat 0.61 0.67 +9.2% +0.7% +0.2% -0.7%
2019-02-12 beat 0.38 0.46 +20.3% +0.6% +3.7% +4.7%
2018-10-30 beat 0.52 0.59 +14.2% +2.7% +2.6% +1.9%
2018-07-31 beat 0.53 0.59 +11.9% -1.0% -1.6% -0.9%
2018-05-01 beat 0.52 0.56 +9.1% +0.9% -2.1% -1.6%
2018-02-12 beat 0.37 0.45 +19.9% +0.1% +0.6% +2.2%
2017-10-25 miss -0.21 -0.26 -23.6% -1.1% -1.5% -6.6%
2017-07-26 beat 0.40 0.40 +1.0% +0.1% -4.5% -1.3%
2017-04-25 beat 0.44 0.47 +7.3% +0.5% +1.0% +0.1%
2017-02-13 beat 0.32 0.38 +16.5% -0.4% -0.2% +1.0%
2016-10-26 beat 0.34 0.38 +11.6% +0.6% -2.4% -1.4%
2016-07-27 beat 0.32 0.38 +17.2% +3.0% +4.1% +6.7%
2016-04-27 beat 0.37 0.39 +5.9% +0.2% -1.0% -1.0%
2016-02-09 beat 0.35 0.38 +8.1% +4.8% +1.5% +0.8%
2015-10-28 beat 0.32 0.34 +5.4% +0.7% +0.0% -4.0%
2015-07-29 beat 0.36 0.39 +8.2% +5.3% +2.5% +2.1%
2015-04-28 beat 0.36 0.39 +8.1% +2.0% -0.5% +1.1%
2015-02-10 beat 0.34 0.38 +11.7% +0.2% -0.1% -0.3%
2014-10-29 beat 0.32 0.35 +10.6% +0.5% -0.1% +1.5%
2014-07-31 beat 0.33 0.39 +19.4% +2.7% +1.7% +2.1%
2014-05-01 beat 0.35 0.40 +13.4% +0.5% -0.9% -1.1%
2014-02-11 beat 0.32 0.37 +17.1% +1.4% +0.0% +2.7%
2013-10-28 beat 0.30 0.37 +21.0% +2.0% +0.7% +0.1%
2013-07-25 beat 0.27 0.33 +20.6% +0.7% +0.5% +0.1%
2013-04-29 beat 0.32 0.39 +21.8% +1.0% +0.2% +1.7%
2013-02-11 beat -0.18 -0.06 +65.8% +0.3% -2.3% -3.0%
2012-11-01 beat 0.25 0.29 +14.3% -2.6% -4.6% -4.2%
2012-07-25 beat 0.27 0.34 +27.9% +0.6% -2.0% +0.1%
2012-04-25 beat 0.24 0.27 +14.3% -0.5% +0.2% +0.4%
2012-02-14 beat 0.21 0.31 +46.1% +1.2% +0.9% -2.3%

12 firms covering, 27 actions in the last 180 days (ratings, reiterations and target changes) · average price target 109 from 12 firms, range 95–134.

DateFirmActionRating TargetFrom
2026-10-13 Morgan Stanley down Equal-Weight 100 105
2026-10-12 Wells Fargo main Overweight 107 117
2026-10-12 Keefe, Bruyette & Woods main Market Perform 95 99
2026-10-09 JP Morgan main Neutral 113 118
2026-10-07 Cantor Fitzgerald main Neutral 105 110
2026-10-06 Morgan Stanley main Overweight 105 111
2026-09-16 Mizuho main Neutral 100 104
2026-08-11 JP Morgan main Neutral 118 116
2026-08-11 Keefe, Bruyette & Woods main Market Perform 99 —
2026-08-05 BMO Capital main Market Perform 102 95
2026-08-03 Cantor Fitzgerald main Neutral 110 102
2026-08-03 Morgan Stanley main Overweight 111 110
2026-07-30 RBC Capital main Outperform 120 115
2026-07-30 Wells Fargo main Overweight 117 114
2026-07-29 Roth Capital main Buy 110 —
2026-07-29 B of A Securities main Buy 134 126
2026-07-20 JP Morgan main Neutral 116 110
2026-07-13 Mizuho main Neutral 104 —
2026-07-09 Wells Fargo main Overweight 114 110
2026-07-09 Cantor Fitzgerald main Neutral 102 100
2026-07-09 Mizuho main Neutral 104 101
2026-07-08 UBS main Buy 120 114
2026-07-08 Keefe, Bruyette & Woods main Market Perform 99 102
2026-07-07 Barclays main Equal-Weight 106 —
2026-07-06 Morgan Stanley main Overweight 110 105
2026-05-05 Keefe, Bruyette & Woods main Market Perform 102 105
2026-05-05 Mizuho main Neutral 101 102
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.0%
Next 1 month
+0.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 27): +2.4% median, 77% of the last 30 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 22
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.13%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β -0.36 -0.9% · Seasonal tilt +0.9%
$37.6B market cap (#363 US) $247M/day volume 21% volatility +15% 1-year -14% from ATH
52-week range · 73% of the way up · -6% from the high
$82.45$107.09

Not investment advice.