ACModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.0%
Next 1 month
+0.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 27): +2.4% median,
77% of the last 30 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 22
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.13%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.36 -0.9% · Seasonal tilt +0.9%
$37.6B market cap (#363 US)
$247M/day volume
21% volatility
+15% 1-year
-14% from ATH
52-week range · 73% of the way up · -6% from the high
$82.45$107.09
Congressional trades in ACGL Full tracker →
5 members · 4 buys / 2 sells · $34K–$160K disclosed · latest filing Jul 21, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
2.4%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+5.9%
Biggest drop
-6.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 59 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | beat | 2.30 | 2.67 | +15.9% | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-28 | beat | 2.46 | 2.56 | +4.0% | -4.2% | -1.8% | -6.9% |
| 2026-04-28 | beat | 2.46 | 2.50 | +1.5% | -1.2% | -4.5% | -2.4% |
| 2026-02-09 | beat | 2.57 | 2.98 | +15.8% | -0.2% | +1.9% | +2.1% |
| 2025-10-27 | beat | 2.25 | 2.77 | +22.9% | +1.3% | -1.4% | +1.8% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | 2.30 | 2.58 | +12.2% | +4.3% | -0.6% | +4.2% |
| 2025-04-29 | beat | 1.31 | 1.54 | +17.2% | -4.3% | -1.9% | +0.3% |
| 2025-02-10 | beat | 1.80 | 2.26 | +25.5% | -2.1% | -2.0% | -3.0% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 2.10 | 2.56 | +22.2% | -2.9% | -6.3% | -5.1% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 2.21 | 2.57 | +16.5% | +2.0% | -2.5% | -1.4% |
| 2024-04-29 | beat | 2.09 | 2.45 | +17.2% | +1.4% | +2.5% | +7.6% |
| 2024-02-14 | beat | 2.01 | 2.49 | +23.9% | +1.8% | +3.0% | +2.9% |
| 2023-10-30 | beat | 1.57 | 2.31 | +47.0% | +2.8% | +4.6% | +3.1% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | 1.59 | 1.92 | +21.1% | +3.3% | -2.9% | -5.7% |
| 2023-04-26 | beat | 1.45 | 1.73 | +19.3% | +0.5% | +2.2% | +0.9% |
| 2023-02-13 | beat | 1.34 | 2.14 | +60.3% | +1.1% | +1.6% | +4.1% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | 0.18 | 0.28 | +52.9% | +2.0% | +5.9% | +15.9% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 1.07 | 1.34 | +24.7% | +1.6% | -2.2% | -1.6% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | 1.07 | 1.10 | +2.6% | -3.9% | -2.4% | -3.1% |
| 2022-02-09 | beat | 0.99 | 1.27 | +28.1% | +0.5% | -1.8% | -2.7% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 0.35 | 0.74 | +114.2% | +1.3% | -0.7% | -0.4% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 0.84 | 1.00 | +19.7% | +1.4% | +1.2% | +5.1% |
| 2021-04-27 | beat | 0.45 | 0.59 | +32.0% | +0.9% | -2.5% | -0.7% |
| 2021-02-09 | beat | 0.38 | 0.56 | +49.0% | +2.3% | -0.6% | -0.5% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.17 | 0.29 | +69.3% | +1.4% | -0.7% | +3.7% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | -0.17 | 0.04 | +123.4% | -2.7% | +0.8% | +1.5% |
| 2020-05-04 | beat | 0.41 | 0.46 | +12.5% | +3.5% | -0.3% | -0.6% |
| 2020-02-11 | beat | 0.68 | 0.74 | +8.7% | -1.0% | -1.5% | +0.3% |
| 2019-10-29 | beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +0.8% | +0.7% | +2.4% | +0.7% |
| 2019-07-29 | beat | 0.67 | 0.77 | +14.9% | +1.2% | +3.5% | +1.8% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 0.61 | 0.67 | +9.2% | +0.7% | +0.2% | -0.7% |
| 2019-02-12 | beat | 0.38 | 0.46 | +20.3% | +0.6% | +3.7% | +4.7% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.52 | 0.59 | +14.2% | +2.7% | +2.6% | +1.9% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 0.53 | 0.59 | +11.9% | -1.0% | -1.6% | -0.9% |
| 2018-05-01 | beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +9.1% | +0.9% | -2.1% | -1.6% |
| 2018-02-12 | beat | 0.37 | 0.45 | +19.9% | +0.1% | +0.6% | +2.2% |
| 2017-10-25 | miss | -0.21 | -0.26 | -23.6% | -1.1% | -1.5% | -6.6% |
| 2017-07-26 | beat | 0.40 | 0.40 | +1.0% | +0.1% | -4.5% | -1.3% |
| 2017-04-25 | beat | 0.44 | 0.47 | +7.3% | +0.5% | +1.0% | +0.1% |
| 2017-02-13 | beat | 0.32 | 0.38 | +16.5% | -0.4% | -0.2% | +1.0% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +11.6% | +0.6% | -2.4% | -1.4% |
| 2016-07-27 | beat | 0.32 | 0.38 | +17.2% | +3.0% | +4.1% | +6.7% |
| 2016-04-27 | beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +5.9% | +0.2% | -1.0% | -1.0% |
| 2016-02-09 | beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +8.1% | +4.8% | +1.5% | +0.8% |
| 2015-10-28 | beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +5.4% | +0.7% | +0.0% | -4.0% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +8.2% | +5.3% | +2.5% | +2.1% |
| 2015-04-28 | beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +8.1% | +2.0% | -0.5% | +1.1% |
| 2015-02-10 | beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +11.7% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -0.3% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +10.6% | +0.5% | -0.1% | +1.5% |
| 2014-07-31 | beat | 0.33 | 0.39 | +19.4% | +2.7% | +1.7% | +2.1% |
| 2014-05-01 | beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +13.4% | +0.5% | -0.9% | -1.1% |
| 2014-02-11 | beat | 0.32 | 0.37 | +17.1% | +1.4% | +0.0% | +2.7% |
| 2013-10-28 | beat | 0.30 | 0.37 | +21.0% | +2.0% | +0.7% | +0.1% |
| 2013-07-25 | beat | 0.27 | 0.33 | +20.6% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +0.1% |
| 2013-04-29 | beat | 0.32 | 0.39 | +21.8% | +1.0% | +0.2% | +1.7% |
| 2013-02-11 | beat | -0.18 | -0.06 | +65.8% | +0.3% | -2.3% | -3.0% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 0.25 | 0.29 | +14.3% | -2.6% | -4.6% | -4.2% |
| 2012-07-25 | beat | 0.27 | 0.34 | +27.9% | +0.6% | -2.0% | +0.1% |
| 2012-04-25 | beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +14.3% | -0.5% | +0.2% | +0.4% |
| 2012-02-14 | beat | 0.21 | 0.31 | +46.1% | +1.2% | +0.9% | -2.3% |
Not investment advice.
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