ACI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.7% | -1.8% | 8.9% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.2% | 2.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.4% | 1.9% | 70% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | +1.5% | 8.9% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 miss | 0.54 | 0.42 | -22.0% | -14.4% | -21.6% | +1.4% | +8.2% |
| 2026-04-14 beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +9.2% | -0.9% | -3.0% | +4.7% | +1.2% |
| 2026-01-07 beat | 0.68 | 0.72 | +5.6% | +1.1% | -6.0% | +10.1% | +12.4% |
| 2025-10-14 beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +10.6% | +8.8% | +13.6% | +0.4% | -7.3% |
| 2025-07-15 beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +1.7% | -2.0% | -5.1% | -2.1% | -9.1% |
| 2025-04-15 beat | 0.41 | 0.46 | +11.1% | -4.5% | -7.6% | +12.4% | +9.8% |
| 2025-01-08 beat | 0.64 | 0.71 | +10.1% | +1.4% | +0.8% | +1.6% | +6.7% |
| 2024-10-15 beat | 0.48 | 0.51 | +6.8% | +1.2% | +1.0% | +0.5% | +3.5% |
| 2024-07-23 miss | 0.68 | 0.66 | -2.5% | -0.5% | +1.4% | -2.5% | +0.4% |
| 2024-04-22 beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +3.0% | +0.7% | -0.6% | +0.7% | +1.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.