ACI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.6% | +0.3% | 6.5% | 52% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.0% | 2.2% | 44% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.7% | 1.9% | 64% |
| 5-day | -1.1% | +0.1% | 8.0% | 52% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 miss | 0.54 | 0.42 | -22.0% | -14.4% | -21.6% | +1.4% | +8.2% |
| 2026-04-14 beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +9.2% | -0.9% | -3.0% | +4.7% | +1.2% |
| 2026-01-07 beat | 0.68 | 0.72 | +5.6% | +1.1% | -6.0% | +10.1% | +12.4% |
| 2025-10-14 beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +10.6% | +8.8% | +13.6% | +0.4% | -7.3% |
| 2025-07-15 beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +1.7% | -2.0% | -5.1% | -2.1% | -9.1% |
| 2025-04-15 beat | 0.41 | 0.46 | +11.1% | -4.5% | -7.6% | +12.4% | +9.8% |
| 2025-01-08 beat | 0.64 | 0.71 | +10.1% | +1.4% | +0.8% | +1.6% | +6.7% |
| 2024-10-15 beat | 0.48 | 0.51 | +6.8% | +1.2% | +1.0% | +0.5% | +3.5% |
| 2024-07-23 miss | 0.68 | 0.66 | -2.5% | -0.5% | +1.4% | -2.5% | +0.4% |
| 2024-04-22 beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +3.0% | +0.7% | -0.6% | +0.7% | +1.3% |
| 2024-01-09 beat | 0.66 | 0.79 | +20.3% | +1.6% | +0.5% | -4.7% | -7.6% |
| 2023-10-17 beat | 0.56 | 0.63 | +12.0% | -0.2% | +0.5% | -3.8% | -5.3% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 0.84 | 0.93 | +10.8% | +0.1% | -1.8% | +0.9% | +2.3% |
| 2023-04-11 beat | 0.68 | 0.79 | +16.2% | -1.7% | -1.6% | -0.6% | -1.9% |
| 2023-01-10 beat | 0.67 | 0.87 | +29.6% | +1.1% | +1.8% | -1.6% | -0.8% |
| 2022-10-18 beat | 0.65 | 0.72 | +11.1% | +1.4% | +1.2% | -22.6% | -21.9% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 0.92 | 1.00 | +8.2% | +0.8% | +0.3% | +1.5% | +6.9% |
| 2022-04-12 beat | 0.65 | 0.75 | +15.5% | -4.3% | -8.1% | +4.1% | -6.3% |
| 2022-01-11 beat | 0.60 | 0.79 | +32.5% | -1.0% | -9.7% | +2.0% | -0.8% |
| 2021-10-18 beat | 0.45 | 0.64 | +41.4% | -1.4% | +3.3% | +3.9% | +15.1% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.69 | 0.89 | +29.0% | +0.9% | +4.3% | +7.1% | +31.4% |
| 2021-04-26 beat | 0.52 | 0.60 | +16.0% | -4.0% | -5.0% | +3.5% | +3.2% |
| 2021-01-12 beat | 0.42 | 0.66 | +58.2% | +5.0% | +2.1% | +1.3% | -2.8% |
| 2020-10-20 beat | 0.26 | 0.60 | +132.0% | +6.4% | +5.8% | -2.2% | +3.5% |
| 2020-07-27 beat | 1.25 | 1.35 | +8.2% | -0.4% | -5.4% | -2.7% | -4.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.