ACIW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +2.9% | 7.6% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 2.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -1.1% | -0.8% | 2.7% | 25% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +1.4% | 10.2% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +1.9% | -8.5% | -4.4% | -2.8% | -4.1% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 0.50 | 0.61 | +22.8% | +9.3% | +7.8% | -12.4% | -8.8% |
| 2026-02-26 miss | 1.01 | 0.90 | -10.7% | -3.0% | -4.1% | +7.7% | +0.2% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.99 | 1.09 | +10.6% | +2.0% | +5.0% | -6.9% | -10.6% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.27 | 0.35 | +31.6% | +7.2% | +3.8% | +6.6% | +17.1% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.34 | 0.51 | +48.3% | -4.3% | -11.7% | +0.6% | -1.4% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.76 | 1.08 | +42.9% | +1.6% | +7.7% | -2.9% | -0.3% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.60 | 0.97 | +62.8% | +1.1% | +8.8% | -7.1% | -9.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.23 | 0.47 | +100.8% | +11.6% | +5.8% | +1.2% | +10.1% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | -0.05 | 0.10 | +296.7% | +2.7% | +3.0% | +5.2% | +2.3% |
| 2024-02-29 beat | 1.12 | 1.27 | +13.1% | +1.8% | +6.3% | -4.3% | -1.6% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.28 | 0.52 | +83.5% | +1.9% | +13.8% | +13.1% | +19.8% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.04 | 0.15 | +275.0% | +3.1% | +5.3% | -1.1% | +3.4% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | -0.04 | -0.07 | -90.9% | -6.1% | -2.7% | +4.5% | -4.2% |
| 2023-03-01 miss | 1.06 | 1.00 | -5.7% | +2.2% | -0.2% | -1.2% | +2.0% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | 0.22 | 0.11 | -48.8% | -3.5% | -18.6% | -0.2% | +8.3% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.25 | 0.29 | +14.8% | -0.1% | -4.6% | -3.9% | -16.7% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.23 | 0.28 | +21.7% | -2.1% | -3.9% | -7.6% | +1.3% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 1.16 | 1.10 | -5.4% | -2.0% | +2.8% | -2.4% | -3.0% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 0.36 | 0.31 | -14.7% | +3.3% | +2.2% | +9.4% | +0.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.