ACIW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.4% | +1.3% | 6.2% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 2.7% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 2.4% | 40% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.1% | 7.7% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +1.9% | -8.5% | -4.4% | -2.8% | -4.1% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 0.50 | 0.61 | +22.8% | +9.3% | +7.8% | -12.4% | -8.8% |
| 2026-02-26 miss | 1.01 | 0.90 | -10.7% | -3.0% | -4.1% | +7.7% | +0.2% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.99 | 1.09 | +10.6% | +2.0% | +5.0% | -6.9% | -10.6% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.27 | 0.35 | +31.6% | +7.2% | +3.8% | +6.6% | +17.1% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.34 | 0.51 | +48.3% | -4.3% | -11.7% | +0.6% | -1.4% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.76 | 1.08 | +42.9% | +1.6% | +7.7% | -2.9% | -0.3% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.60 | 0.97 | +62.8% | +1.1% | +8.8% | -7.1% | -9.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.23 | 0.47 | +100.8% | +11.6% | +5.8% | +1.2% | +10.1% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | -0.05 | 0.10 | +296.7% | +2.7% | +3.0% | +5.2% | +2.3% |
| 2024-02-29 beat | 1.12 | 1.27 | +13.1% | +1.8% | +6.3% | -4.3% | -1.6% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.28 | 0.52 | +83.5% | +1.9% | +13.8% | +13.1% | +19.8% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.04 | 0.15 | +275.0% | +3.1% | +5.3% | -1.1% | +3.4% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | -0.04 | -0.07 | -90.9% | -6.1% | -2.7% | +4.5% | -4.2% |
| 2023-03-01 miss | 1.06 | 1.00 | -5.7% | +2.2% | -0.2% | -1.2% | +2.0% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | 0.22 | 0.11 | -48.8% | -3.5% | -18.6% | -0.2% | +8.3% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.25 | 0.29 | +14.8% | -0.1% | -4.6% | -3.9% | -16.7% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.23 | 0.28 | +21.7% | -2.1% | -3.9% | -7.6% | +1.3% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 1.16 | 1.10 | -5.4% | -2.0% | +2.8% | -2.4% | -3.0% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 0.36 | 0.31 | -14.7% | +3.3% | +2.2% | +9.4% | +0.3% |
| 2021-08-05 miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -7.1% | -1.7% | -0.6% | -0.5% | +2.8% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 0.06 | 0.15 | +134.4% | -0.7% | +1.1% | +5.2% | +3.1% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 0.80 | 0.84 | +5.5% | -2.1% | -9.2% | -2.0% | +1.6% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.30 | 0.39 | +28.9% | +1.8% | +6.3% | -4.4% | +17.3% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.15 | 0.15 | +0.0% | +2.0% | +8.8% | -0.5% | -5.9% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 0.11 | -0.16 | -252.0% | -2.1% | +2.1% | -11.2% | +8.2% |
| 2020-02-27 miss | 0.71 | 0.48 | -32.3% | -6.4% | -5.3% | +4.3% | -17.9% |
| 2019-11-07 beat | 0.25 | 0.28 | +10.2% | +5.0% | +7.5% | -1.1% | +6.4% |
| 2019-08-08 beat | -0.05 | 0.19 | +475.8% | +4.1% | +2.4% | -7.1% | +1.4% |
| 2019-05-09 miss | -0.14 | -0.20 | -35.5% | -2.7% | -5.7% | -0.3% | +1.8% |
| 2019-02-28 miss | 0.88 | 0.75 | -14.3% | -3.4% | +2.2% | -1.1% | +3.1% |
| 2018-11-08 beat | 0.07 | 0.14 | +101.3% | +14.0% | +11.5% | +0.8% | -5.3% |
| 2018-08-02 miss | -0.09 | -0.12 | -27.3% | -4.7% | +0.3% | +3.1% | +7.0% |
| 2018-05-10 miss | -0.09 | -0.14 | -46.9% | -3.7% | -2.3% | +2.2% | +9.4% |
| 2018-02-22 beat | 0.44 | 0.62 | +42.2% | +2.3% | +4.5% | -2.2% | +1.9% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | -0.08 | 0.04 | +151.1% | +5.2% | -3.1% | +0.5% | -2.9% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | -0.08 | 0.01 | +112.2% | +1.5% | -0.4% | -8.7% | -8.4% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | -0.09 | 0.02 | +123.1% | +4.9% | +4.9% | +3.0% | +2.8% |
| 2017-03-01 miss | 0.58 | 0.37 | -36.1% | +5.5% | +15.7% | -3.9% | -6.2% |
| 2016-11-03 miss | 0.16 | -0.04 | -125.3% | -5.7% | -5.0% | +4.6% | +7.1% |
| 2016-07-28 miss | -0.05 | -0.10 | -102.7% | -3.5% | +1.1% | -6.3% | -5.5% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +42.8% | +1.8% | -1.2% | +2.7% | +9.8% |
| 2016-02-25 miss | 0.47 | 0.40 | -15.0% | -1.3% | -1.9% | +10.9% | +6.2% |
| 2015-11-04 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +11.4% | -0.7% | -3.7% | +2.3% | -1.8% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | 0.07 | 0.26 | +254.6% | +1.4% | +8.0% | -6.2% | -11.7% |
| 2015-04-30 beat | -0.01 | 0.02 | +380.1% | -1.0% | +4.2% | +1.1% | +3.8% |
| 2015-02-26 miss | 0.44 | 0.43 | -2.9% | -4.3% | -2.7% | +1.3% | +8.1% |
| 2014-10-30 beat | 0.14 | 0.18 | +25.6% | -2.7% | -0.4% | -3.1% | +0.9% |
| 2014-07-31 beat | 0.05 | 0.12 | +134.2% | +0.2% | +1.5% | -1.7% | +3.9% |
| 2014-05-01 miss | 0.05 | -0.01 | -129.6% | -1.2% | -2.0% | -5.6% | -4.7% |
| 2014-02-27 miss | 0.47 | 0.47 | -0.9% | -0.6% | +2.9% | +4.9% | -1.9% |
| 2013-11-07 beat | 0.17 | 0.17 | +1.0% | +4.3% | +8.4% | +8.3% | +10.9% |
| 2013-08-07 miss | 0.12 | 0.05 | -59.6% | -5.0% | -0.3% | +2.3% | +2.1% |
| 2013-05-02 miss | 0.16 | 0.02 | -85.7% | -2.7% | -1.0% | -2.8% | +1.7% |
| 2013-02-28 beat | 0.44 | 0.46 | +3.0% | -1.1% | -2.5% | +1.4% | +4.0% |
| 2012-11-08 miss | 0.15 | 0.10 | -35.3% | +10.3% | +12.7% | -4.6% | +0.9% |
| 2012-07-26 miss | 0.11 | 0.05 | -49.2% | -15.9% | -6.3% | +6.7% | +9.2% |
| 2012-05-03 beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +111.9% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -1.2% | -7.1% |
| 2012-02-14 beat | 0.25 | 0.29 | +17.9% | -2.3% | +1.9% | +2.9% | +9.8% |
| 2011-10-27 beat | 0.08 | 0.13 | +57.5% | +0.2% | +5.6% | +0.6% | -6.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.