ADI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.5% | +2.2% | 5.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.8% | 1.8% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +1.5% | +2.5% | 1.9% | 80% |
| 5-day | +4.2% | +3.8% | 6.3% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 beat | 3.34 | 3.45 | +3.3% | +0.5% | -0.9% | -0.4% | — |
| 2026-05-20 beat | 2.91 | 3.09 | +6.2% | -5.9% | -3.9% | +5.3% | +11.9% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 2.31 | 2.46 | +6.5% | +4.4% | +2.6% | +4.2% | -10.4% |
| 2025-11-25 beat | 2.23 | 2.26 | +1.1% | -3.7% | +5.3% | +10.4% | +9.8% |
| 2025-08-20 beat | 1.95 | 2.05 | +5.3% | +4.0% | +6.3% | +4.3% | +0.2% |
| 2025-05-22 beat | 1.70 | 1.85 | +9.1% | -0.3% | -4.6% | +1.0% | +10.9% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 1.54 | 1.63 | +5.6% | +4.5% | +9.7% | -3.3% | -14.8% |
| 2024-11-26 beat | 1.64 | 1.67 | +1.9% | +3.8% | -2.0% | -0.3% | -0.9% |
| 2024-08-21 beat | 1.51 | 1.58 | +4.8% | +2.7% | +1.8% | -0.1% | -0.3% |
| 2024-05-22 beat | 1.27 | 1.40 | +10.3% | +5.1% | +10.9% | -4.2% | -4.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.