ADI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.4% | +1.1% | 5.1% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.6% | 1.7% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.6% | 1.9% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | +0.3% | 5.8% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 beat | 3.34 | 3.45 | +3.3% | +0.5% | -0.9% | -0.4% | — |
| 2026-05-20 beat | 2.91 | 3.09 | +6.2% | -5.9% | -3.9% | +5.3% | +11.9% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 2.31 | 2.46 | +6.5% | +4.4% | +2.6% | +4.2% | -10.4% |
| 2025-11-25 beat | 2.23 | 2.26 | +1.1% | -3.7% | +5.3% | +10.4% | +9.8% |
| 2025-08-20 beat | 1.95 | 2.05 | +5.3% | +4.0% | +6.3% | +4.3% | +0.2% |
| 2025-05-22 beat | 1.70 | 1.85 | +9.1% | -0.3% | -4.6% | +1.0% | +10.9% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 1.54 | 1.63 | +5.6% | +4.5% | +9.7% | -3.3% | -14.8% |
| 2024-11-26 beat | 1.64 | 1.67 | +1.9% | +3.8% | -2.0% | -0.3% | -0.9% |
| 2024-08-21 beat | 1.51 | 1.58 | +4.8% | +2.7% | +1.8% | -0.1% | -0.3% |
| 2024-05-22 beat | 1.27 | 1.40 | +10.3% | +5.1% | +10.9% | -4.2% | -4.9% |
| 2024-02-21 beat | 1.71 | 1.73 | +1.4% | +0.5% | +2.3% | -3.1% | +0.7% |
| 2023-11-21 miss | 2.02 | 2.01 | -0.4% | -0.4% | -1.4% | +0.8% | +8.3% |
| 2023-08-23 miss | 2.52 | 2.49 | -1.2% | -4.6% | +0.5% | +2.3% | -1.1% |
| 2023-05-24 beat | 2.76 | 2.83 | +2.7% | -8.7% | -7.8% | +4.2% | +7.6% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | 2.60 | 2.75 | +5.7% | +6.5% | +7.5% | -5.4% | -5.3% |
| 2022-11-22 beat | 2.59 | 2.73 | +5.5% | +3.7% | +5.8% | +2.1% | -2.8% |
| 2022-08-17 beat | 2.43 | 2.52 | +3.6% | -2.8% | -5.0% | -3.8% | -12.2% |
| 2022-05-18 beat | 2.11 | 2.40 | +13.7% | +1.5% | -2.4% | +1.5% | -9.6% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 1.79 | 1.94 | +8.5% | -0.1% | +3.9% | -5.1% | -2.9% |
| 2021-11-23 beat | 1.70 | 1.73 | +1.9% | +0.4% | -1.6% | -0.9% | -5.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.