ADT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +1.8% | 8.6% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | +0.7% | 4.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.9% | -0.2% | 3.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.0% | +1.6% | 7.7% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +3.1% | -1.5% | +1.3% | +1.9% | +0.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +11.0% | +6.0% | +5.0% | -8.4% | -10.5% |
| 2026-03-02 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +3.4% | -13.5% | -11.2% | -8.3% | -7.7% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +6.8% | -3.5% | -8.1% | +0.5% | +0.4% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +15.0% | -0.7% | +2.8% | -3.7% | +1.6% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +10.4% | -1.6% | -2.0% | +3.4% | +6.1% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +6.4% | +5.2% | +7.8% | -5.2% | -0.2% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +17.2% | +6.6% | +17.6% | -11.5% | -7.4% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.17 | 0.17 | +2.2% | -0.4% | -8.9% | +2.4% | +2.8% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +6.3% | +0.9% | -0.8% | +5.1% | +14.1% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | 0.06 | 0.25 | +319.6% | +4.4% | +10.1% | +3.9% | -6.5% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +109.8% | +2.3% | +16.5% | -10.0% | -4.3% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.06 | 0.16 | +177.4% | +1.8% | +2.4% | +1.4% | -7.8% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.08 | 0.12 | +47.4% | -1.4% | -14.3% | +6.0% | -1.1% |
| 2023-02-28 miss | 0.21 | 0.10 | -51.6% | -1.4% | -4.1% | +1.1% | -4.8% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +52.1% | +0.6% | +0.1% | +10.2% | +14.6% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 0.18 | 0.06 | -66.5% | +0.3% | +5.3% | +4.3% | -6.4% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -13.2% | -2.1% | -2.9% | -5.1% | +8.1% |
| 2022-03-01 miss | 0.09 | -0.03 | -134.2% | +4.5% | +2.2% | -4.3% | +1.6% |
| 2021-11-09 miss | -0.01 | -0.07 | -562.9% | +5.1% | +12.1% | -9.1% | -15.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.