ADT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.7% | -0.8% | 9.1% | 43% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.9% | 4.1% | 63% |
| Day 3 | -1.2% | -0.6% | 3.3% | 37% |
| 5-day | -3.6% | -2.2% | 10.4% | 46% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +3.1% | -1.5% | +1.3% | +1.9% | +0.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +11.0% | +6.0% | +5.0% | -8.4% | -10.5% |
| 2026-03-02 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +3.4% | -13.5% | -11.2% | -8.3% | -7.7% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +6.8% | -3.5% | -8.1% | +0.5% | +0.4% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +15.0% | -0.7% | +2.8% | -3.7% | +1.6% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +10.4% | -1.6% | -2.0% | +3.4% | +6.1% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +6.4% | +5.2% | +7.8% | -5.2% | -0.2% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +17.2% | +6.6% | +17.6% | -11.5% | -7.4% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.17 | 0.17 | +2.2% | -0.4% | -8.9% | +2.4% | +2.8% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +6.3% | +0.9% | -0.8% | +5.1% | +14.1% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | 0.06 | 0.25 | +319.6% | +4.4% | +10.1% | +3.9% | -6.5% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +109.8% | +2.3% | +16.5% | -10.0% | -4.3% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.06 | 0.16 | +177.4% | +1.8% | +2.4% | +1.4% | -7.8% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.08 | 0.12 | +47.4% | -1.4% | -14.3% | +6.0% | -1.1% |
| 2023-02-28 miss | 0.21 | 0.10 | -51.6% | -1.4% | -4.1% | +1.1% | -4.8% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +52.1% | +0.6% | +0.1% | +10.2% | +14.6% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 0.18 | 0.06 | -66.5% | +0.3% | +5.3% | +4.3% | -6.4% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -13.2% | -2.1% | -2.9% | -5.1% | +8.1% |
| 2022-03-01 miss | 0.09 | -0.03 | -134.2% | +4.5% | +2.2% | -4.3% | +1.6% |
| 2021-11-09 miss | -0.01 | -0.07 | -562.9% | +5.1% | +12.1% | -9.1% | -15.4% |
| 2021-08-04 miss | 0.10 | -0.07 | -171.8% | -1.2% | -12.5% | -3.0% | -5.1% |
| 2021-05-05 miss | 0.14 | -0.07 | -149.9% | +0.7% | -0.2% | +3.1% | +19.9% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | 0.31 | -0.12 | -138.5% | -10.0% | -19.7% | -4.9% | +9.3% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | 0.15 | -0.08 | -153.8% | -0.3% | +0.0% | +4.6% | +17.6% |
| 2020-08-05 miss | 0.29 | -0.07 | -124.0% | -7.7% | -5.9% | -1.2% | -14.4% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 0.19 | -0.09 | -147.9% | -2.0% | +0.4% | +6.5% | +50.3% |
| 2020-03-05 beat | 0.23 | 0.31 | +30.3% | -7.8% | -5.6% | -20.6% | -26.0% |
| 2019-11-12 miss | 0.21 | -0.02 | -109.8% | +0.6% | +8.2% | +1.2% | +1.6% |
| 2019-08-06 beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +18.7% | -9.5% | -6.1% | -16.5% | +2.5% |
| 2019-05-07 beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +4.9% | -2.2% | -11.1% | -0.8% | -0.2% |
| 2019-03-11 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +9.8% | -10.1% | -13.4% | +2.3% | +1.5% |
| 2018-11-07 beat | 0.26 | 0.26 | +0.2% | -1.6% | +9.2% | -2.3% | -10.4% |
| 2018-08-08 beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +31.0% | -5.8% | -10.7% | +3.0% | +2.0% |
| 2018-05-09 beat | 0.27 | 0.34 | +26.9% | +4.9% | -8.8% | -10.5% | +5.1% |
| 2018-03-15 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +17.7% | +5.3% | -12.5% | -2.9% | +0.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.