AEM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | -0.0% | 3.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.9% | 1.5% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.5% | 2.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | +3.0% | +0.9% | 8.7% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 2.91 | 3.05 | +4.8% | +1.5% | +4.4% | +11.4% | +36.8% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 3.21 | 3.40 | +5.9% | -1.0% | -2.5% | +5.3% | -2.5% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 2.65 | 2.70 | +1.9% | +1.5% | +5.5% | +11.0% | -3.3% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 1.96 | 2.16 | +10.0% | +0.4% | +3.7% | -2.0% | +5.8% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.80 | 1.94 | +7.5% | +1.6% | +0.8% | +9.2% | +15.9% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 1.38 | 1.53 | +10.7% | -2.2% | -0.9% | -6.2% | -1.9% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 1.17 | 1.26 | +7.6% | -1.8% | -4.9% | +1.7% | +10.4% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 1.02 | 1.14 | +11.5% | -0.9% | -2.2% | -0.9% | -4.0% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.91 | 1.07 | +17.7% | +0.0% | -1.4% | -3.3% | +7.1% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.60 | 0.76 | +26.6% | +3.1% | +0.9% | -0.7% | +5.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.