AEM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | -0.3% | 3.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | +0.0% | 1.9% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.2% | 2.4% | 55% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | -1.1% | 7.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 2.91 | 3.05 | +4.8% | +1.5% | +4.4% | +11.4% | +36.8% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 3.21 | 3.40 | +5.9% | -1.0% | -2.5% | +5.3% | -2.5% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 2.65 | 2.70 | +1.9% | +1.5% | +5.5% | +11.0% | -3.3% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 1.96 | 2.16 | +10.0% | +0.4% | +3.7% | -2.0% | +5.8% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.80 | 1.94 | +7.5% | +1.6% | +0.8% | +9.2% | +15.9% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 1.38 | 1.53 | +10.7% | -2.2% | -0.9% | -6.2% | -1.9% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 1.17 | 1.26 | +7.6% | -1.8% | -4.9% | +1.7% | +10.4% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 1.02 | 1.14 | +11.5% | -0.9% | -2.2% | -0.9% | -4.0% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.91 | 1.07 | +17.7% | +0.0% | -1.4% | -3.3% | +7.1% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.60 | 0.76 | +26.6% | +3.1% | +0.9% | -0.7% | +5.2% |
| 2024-02-15 beat | 0.49 | 0.57 | +15.4% | +1.4% | +2.5% | +2.3% | +13.7% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +5.9% | -0.1% | -2.9% | +0.4% | +7.2% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.56 | 0.65 | +16.6% | +0.9% | -3.1% | -4.4% | -6.5% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.49 | 0.58 | +19.4% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +5.4% | -11.4% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -0.9% | -5.1% | -6.2% | -0.6% | +7.0% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 0.43 | 0.52 | +20.6% | -1.2% | +0.3% | -8.6% | +7.8% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.60 | 0.76 | +26.8% | +9.5% | +6.3% | +4.2% | +3.7% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.38 | 0.61 | +59.6% | +3.6% | +4.3% | -1.5% | -9.1% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | 0.55 | 0.46 | -16.9% | +1.3% | -5.1% | +1.5% | +19.3% |
| 2021-10-27 miss | 0.60 | 0.60 | -0.2% | -0.3% | -2.3% | -5.8% | -8.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.