AER chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.0% | -0.3% | 3.8% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 2.8% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.3% | 1.6% | 55% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +0.8% | 6.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 4.14 | 5.14 | +24.0% | +0.6% | -3.5% | +4.4% | -0.4% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 3.71 | 5.39 | +45.3% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +9.4% | +0.9% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | 3.40 | 3.95 | +16.1% | +0.3% | -2.7% | +7.4% | +0.4% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 3.08 | 4.97 | +61.3% | +5.4% | +8.8% | +1.5% | +1.8% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 2.68 | 2.83 | +5.6% | -0.2% | -3.2% | -0.2% | +13.5% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 2.80 | 3.68 | +31.6% | +2.3% | +0.2% | +1.8% | +9.2% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 2.57 | 3.31 | +28.7% | +3.4% | +0.8% | -0.4% | +0.4% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 2.42 | 2.41 | -0.5% | -6.9% | -1.9% | +5.4% | +5.8% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 2.34 | 3.01 | +28.5% | +0.4% | -2.1% | +0.0% | +5.9% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 2.39 | 3.29 | +37.9% | +1.8% | +1.2% | +5.4% | +8.4% |
| 2024-02-23 beat | 2.45 | 3.11 | +26.7% | -0.1% | -0.9% | -0.6% | +9.9% |
| 2023-10-27 beat | 2.39 | 2.81 | +17.7% | +0.9% | +0.0% | +10.0% | +12.1% |
| 2023-07-31 beat | 2.06 | 2.56 | +24.3% | +1.7% | -3.1% | +1.5% | -4.3% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 2.03 | 2.34 | +15.6% | +0.5% | -0.6% | -0.6% | +3.1% |
| 2023-03-02 beat | 1.96 | 2.66 | +35.4% | +4.2% | +3.7% | -12.4% | -14.1% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 1.39 | 2.21 | +59.0% | +7.9% | +4.5% | +8.8% | +11.8% |
| 2022-08-11 beat | 1.42 | 1.91 | +34.7% | +5.4% | +1.5% | +0.7% | +0.5% |
| 2022-05-17 beat | 1.56 | 2.23 | +43.0% | +5.2% | +6.2% | -4.9% | -21.3% |
| 2022-03-30 miss | 1.61 | 1.04 | -35.6% | -11.3% | -8.4% | -5.6% | -9.2% |
| 2021-11-10 beat | 3.47 | 4.04 | +16.4% | +0.5% | -1.1% | -6.8% | -10.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.