AER chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +1.0% | 3.3% | 62% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 2.4% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 1.6% | 48% |
| 5-day | +2.3% | +1.6% | 6.0% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 4.14 | 5.14 | +24.0% | +0.6% | -3.5% | +4.4% | -0.4% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 3.71 | 5.39 | +45.3% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +9.4% | +0.9% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | 3.40 | 3.95 | +16.1% | +0.3% | -2.7% | +7.4% | +0.4% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 3.08 | 4.97 | +61.3% | +5.4% | +8.8% | +1.5% | +1.8% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 2.68 | 2.83 | +5.6% | -0.2% | -3.2% | -0.2% | +13.5% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 2.80 | 3.68 | +31.6% | +2.3% | +0.2% | +1.8% | +9.2% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 2.57 | 3.31 | +28.7% | +3.4% | +0.8% | -0.4% | +0.4% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 2.42 | 2.41 | -0.5% | -6.9% | -1.9% | +5.4% | +5.8% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 2.34 | 3.01 | +28.5% | +0.4% | -2.1% | +0.0% | +5.9% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 2.39 | 3.29 | +37.9% | +1.8% | +1.2% | +5.4% | +8.4% |
| 2024-02-23 beat | 2.45 | 3.11 | +26.7% | -0.1% | -0.9% | -0.6% | +9.9% |
| 2023-10-27 beat | 2.39 | 2.81 | +17.7% | +0.9% | +0.0% | +10.0% | +12.1% |
| 2023-07-31 beat | 2.06 | 2.56 | +24.3% | +1.7% | -3.1% | +1.5% | -4.3% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 2.03 | 2.34 | +15.6% | +0.5% | -0.6% | -0.6% | +3.1% |
| 2023-03-02 beat | 1.96 | 2.66 | +35.4% | +4.2% | +3.7% | -12.4% | -14.1% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 1.39 | 2.21 | +59.0% | +7.9% | +4.5% | +8.8% | +11.8% |
| 2022-08-11 beat | 1.42 | 1.91 | +34.7% | +5.4% | +1.5% | +0.7% | +0.5% |
| 2022-05-17 beat | 1.56 | 2.23 | +43.0% | +5.2% | +6.2% | -4.9% | -21.3% |
| 2022-03-30 miss | 1.61 | 1.04 | -35.6% | -11.3% | -8.4% | -5.6% | -9.2% |
| 2021-11-10 beat | 3.47 | 4.04 | +16.4% | +0.5% | -1.1% | -6.8% | -10.8% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 1.06 | 2.39 | +125.5% | +2.0% | +1.8% | +2.0% | +6.1% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 1.20 | 1.93 | +60.8% | +0.8% | -0.5% | +0.0% | -2.2% |
| 2021-03-02 beat | 0.88 | 1.02 | +16.2% | +0.7% | -1.4% | +19.9% | +25.8% |
| 2020-11-10 beat | 0.50 | 1.24 | +146.2% | -6.5% | -2.1% | +16.1% | +25.0% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 1.40 | 2.34 | +67.0% | +5.1% | +7.9% | +7.5% | +10.5% |
| 2020-05-05 miss | 1.90 | 1.88 | -1.1% | +10.0% | +2.5% | -2.8% | +34.2% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 1.96 | 2.24 | +14.2% | +4.4% | +2.8% | -1.3% | -66.6% |
| 2019-11-08 beat | 1.90 | 2.03 | +7.0% | -0.2% | +1.5% | -0.9% | +0.4% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 1.68 | 2.09 | +24.8% | +4.2% | +8.2% | -3.8% | -5.2% |
| 2019-05-01 miss | 1.61 | 1.58 | -1.6% | +1.7% | +4.3% | -2.4% | -13.5% |
| 2019-02-14 beat | 1.60 | 1.95 | +22.2% | +0.6% | +0.4% | -2.7% | -7.3% |
| 2018-10-30 beat | 1.62 | 1.93 | +18.6% | -0.6% | +1.5% | +2.1% | +4.6% |
| 2018-07-30 beat | 1.48 | 1.69 | +14.3% | +0.2% | -1.2% | +2.6% | +2.1% |
| 2018-05-03 miss | 1.61 | 1.50 | -6.5% | +1.4% | +2.5% | +3.6% | +2.5% |
| 2018-02-14 beat | 1.38 | 1.64 | +18.8% | +2.6% | +2.0% | -2.8% | -4.1% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 1.61 | 1.87 | +16.3% | +2.2% | +0.3% | -2.2% | -1.9% |
| 2017-08-03 beat | 1.50 | 1.90 | +26.1% | +1.3% | +1.1% | -1.0% | +1.9% |
| 2017-05-09 miss | 1.46 | 1.42 | -3.2% | +2.1% | +2.1% | -2.7% | -2.3% |
| 2017-02-21 beat | 1.69 | 2.18 | +29.3% | +3.1% | +2.2% | -5.0% | -7.0% |
| 2016-11-08 beat | 1.46 | 1.68 | +15.4% | +1.4% | +0.6% | +5.9% | +6.1% |
| 2016-08-09 beat | 1.47 | 1.53 | +4.0% | +0.1% | +1.2% | +0.9% | +6.4% |
| 2016-05-12 beat | 1.50 | 1.53 | +2.0% | +2.4% | -8.5% | -0.6% | -0.2% |
| 2016-02-23 miss | 1.49 | 1.42 | -4.8% | -2.7% | -0.7% | +10.6% | +14.8% |
| 2015-11-10 beat | 1.50 | 1.65 | +9.6% | +2.0% | -2.2% | +3.1% | +3.1% |
| 2015-08-11 beat | 1.33 | 1.71 | +28.1% | +1.7% | -1.7% | +1.3% | -10.9% |
| 2015-05-11 beat | 1.27 | 1.42 | +12.1% | +0.4% | -1.8% | +1.3% | +0.4% |
| 2015-02-23 beat | 1.31 | 1.49 | +13.5% | +4.1% | +3.6% | -4.5% | -3.7% |
| 2014-11-04 beat | 1.18 | 1.49 | +26.4% | +4.1% | +3.1% | -1.1% | -4.1% |
| 2014-08-12 beat | 0.84 | 1.29 | +52.8% | +2.6% | +3.2% | +7.3% | -0.1% |
| 2014-05-06 beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +7.2% | +0.0% | +4.2% | +3.5% | +5.6% |
| 2014-02-20 miss | 0.67 | 0.66 | -0.9% | -5.7% | +2.0% | +7.5% | +1.3% |
| 2013-11-04 beat | 0.62 | 0.79 | +27.4% | +4.1% | +6.1% | -2.7% | +0.3% |
| 2013-08-06 beat | 0.54 | 0.59 | +9.0% | +2.3% | +0.1% | +4.6% | +7.6% |
| 2013-05-07 beat | 0.53 | 0.60 | +12.5% | +0.6% | +2.4% | +2.1% | +4.1% |
| 2013-02-20 beat | 0.48 | 0.57 | +18.7% | +1.7% | +1.2% | +2.3% | +3.3% |
| 2012-11-07 miss | 0.48 | 0.48 | -0.4% | -1.5% | -0.7% | -2.6% | +2.9% |
| 2012-08-07 miss | 0.43 | 0.43 | -0.6% | -3.2% | -1.9% | +5.5% | +12.1% |
| 2012-05-08 beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +7.3% | -0.5% | +2.0% | +0.4% | +3.9% |
| 2012-02-22 beat | 0.47 | 0.56 | +18.5% | +0.1% | +3.5% | -3.6% | -15.4% |
| 2011-11-08 beat | 0.45 | 0.50 | +11.5% | +1.8% | -1.8% | -4.9% | -8.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.