AEYE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +7.9% | +4.2% | 23.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +2.6% | +2.5% | 6.6% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +1.0% | 10.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.5% | -6.3% | 16.1% | 33% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 beat | 0.27 | 0.30 | +11.1% | +9.2% | +36.7% | — | — |
| 2026-08-13 beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +8.2% | +6.5% | +37.5% | -9.9% | -7.6% |
| 2026-03-05 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +6.8% | -6.4% | -22.4% | -6.4% | +2.1% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +7.0% | +0.1% | +1.3% | -12.5% | -9.1% |
| 2025-08-07 | 0.15 | 0.15 | — | -5.4% | -13.4% | +7.7% | +33.0% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 0.15 | 0.15 | +1.7% | -20.6% | -9.4% | +3.4% | +12.6% |
| 2025-03-12 beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +1.4% | -12.9% | -13.7% | +4.7% | +1.4% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +11.6% | +0.6% | +17.4% | -19.6% | -39.3% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +24.1% | +12.5% | +38.2% | -17.0% | -7.9% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +45.5% | +20.0% | +7.0% | +7.3% | +44.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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