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AEYE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | -2.4% | 16.9% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +1.0% | 5.2% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +2.3% | +1.6% | 9.1% | 57% |
| 5-day | +2.1% | -6.3% | 23.1% | 41% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 beat | 0.27 | 0.30 | +11.1% | +9.2% | +36.7% | — | — |
| 2026-08-13 beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +8.2% | +6.5% | +37.5% | -9.9% | -7.6% |
| 2026-03-05 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +6.8% | -6.4% | -22.4% | -6.4% | +2.1% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +7.0% | +0.1% | +1.3% | -12.5% | -9.1% |
| 2025-08-07 | 0.15 | 0.15 | — | -5.4% | -13.4% | +7.7% | +33.0% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 0.15 | 0.15 | +1.7% | -20.6% | -9.4% | +3.4% | +12.6% |
| 2025-03-12 beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +1.4% | -12.9% | -13.7% | +4.7% | +1.4% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +11.6% | +0.6% | +17.4% | -19.6% | -39.3% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +24.1% | +12.5% | +38.2% | -17.0% | -7.9% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +45.5% | +20.0% | +7.0% | +7.3% | +44.4% |
| 2024-03-06 beat | 0.03 | 0.11 | +340.0% | +21.2% | +17.3% | +2.5% | +15.3% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | -0.01 | 0.02 | +300.0% | +2.6% | +5.7% | -14.0% | -12.0% |
| 2023-08-10 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | -8.0% | -14.0% | -4.9% | -10.5% |
| 2023-05-10 beat | -0.02 | — | +100.0% | -4.3% | -4.6% | -5.4% | -7.3% |
| 2023-03-09 | 0.01 | 0.01 | — | +5.1% | -1.5% | +8.3% | +32.2% |
| 2022-11-10 beat | -0.02 | 0.01 | +150.0% | -5.2% | -2.2% | -2.8% | -11.0% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | -0.13 | -0.02 | +84.6% | +7.4% | +8.0% | +4.5% | -4.8% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -0.20 | -0.12 | +40.0% | +1.8% | +2.9% | -9.7% | +35.9% |
| 2022-03-10 beat | -0.17 | -0.16 | +5.9% | +3.3% | -3.2% | +37.0% | -0.4% |
| 2021-11-11 miss | -0.17 | -0.24 | -41.2% | -1.9% | -12.0% | -11.5% | -11.4% |
| 2021-08-11 beat | -0.18 | -0.13 | +29.7% | -24.9% | -26.9% | +21.2% | +12.7% |
| 2021-05-13 beat | -0.15 | -0.09 | +41.9% | -0.1% | -10.7% | +12.1% | +8.5% |
| 2021-03-11 beat | -0.13 | -0.09 | +30.8% | +0.0% | -2.6% | +15.2% | -7.2% |
| 2020-11-13 beat | -0.30 | -0.02 | +92.8% | -7.1% | -8.6% | -3.0% | +14.1% |
| 2020-08-13 beat | -0.13 | -0.08 | +34.6% | -0.6% | -0.4% | +57.0% | -6.7% |
| 2020-05-14 beat | -0.18 | -0.16 | +11.1% | +5.0% | -11.7% | -3.1% | +11.0% |
| 2020-03-23 beat | -0.27 | -0.14 | +47.1% | +4.3% | +17.1% | +2.8% | +77.1% |
| 2019-11-13 beat | -0.25 | -0.23 | +6.4% | +4.4% | +14.3% | +47.8% | +35.8% |
| 2019-08-14 miss | -0.18 | -0.27 | -46.0% | -0.7% | -18.2% | -12.7% | -12.9% |
| 2019-05-14 miss | -0.12 | -0.28 | -133.3% | -4.5% | -9.3% | -11.4% | -18.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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