AGIO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.4% | +0.6% | 5.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.8% | 3.9% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.2% | 3.3% | 45% |
| 5-day | +2.3% | +1.7% | 10.6% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | -1.66 | -1.69 | -1.5% | -15.8% | -6.5% | -2.4% | +1.7% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | -1.79 | -1.69 | +5.7% | +6.9% | +13.1% | -3.8% | +4.8% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | -1.94 | -1.85 | +4.9% | +0.5% | +1.3% | +4.2% | +2.7% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | -1.90 | -1.78 | +6.5% | +0.5% | +2.9% | -6.6% | -35.5% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | -1.75 | -1.93 | -10.0% | -1.7% | -0.9% | -0.4% | +1.3% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -1.76 | -1.55 | +11.9% | -1.7% | +4.2% | -9.4% | +5.5% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | -1.63 | -1.74 | -6.8% | +2.0% | +1.5% | +5.8% | -3.9% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 7.91 | -1.47 | -118.5% | -3.4% | -4.0% | +24.0% | +32.5% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | -1.61 | -1.69 | -4.9% | -3.3% | -4.1% | -1.6% | +3.2% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -1.68 | -1.45 | +13.9% | -0.2% | +2.7% | -4.8% | +26.7% |
| 2024-02-15 miss | -1.64 | -1.72 | -5.0% | -3.7% | +3.5% | +23.1% | +9.3% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | -1.64 | -1.64 | -0.1% | +0.9% | -1.4% | +1.7% | +9.9% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | -1.50 | -1.51 | -0.9% | -2.9% | -0.2% | +3.3% | +8.6% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -1.72 | -1.47 | +14.7% | -4.3% | +7.7% | +3.1% | +5.8% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | -1.53 | -1.66 | -8.4% | -1.0% | -1.7% | -7.1% | -16.6% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | -1.71 | -1.49 | +13.0% | -0.5% | -5.2% | +9.0% | +13.1% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | -1.78 | -1.68 | +5.5% | +2.5% | +14.7% | -9.2% | +11.3% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -1.76 | -1.74 | +1.1% | -4.7% | -4.7% | -6.9% | -20.4% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | -1.57 | -1.77 | -12.6% | -1.6% | +5.7% | +10.3% | -1.2% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | -1.57 | -1.51 | +3.5% | -1.6% | -0.3% | -13.4% | -31.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.