AGIO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -0.9% | 7.1% | 42% |
| Day 2 | +0.9% | +0.0% | 5.1% | 49% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.1% | 4.0% | 49% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | -0.1% | 12.7% | 49% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | -1.66 | -1.69 | -1.5% | -15.8% | -6.5% | -2.4% | +1.7% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | -1.79 | -1.69 | +5.7% | +6.9% | +13.1% | -3.8% | +4.8% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | -1.94 | -1.85 | +4.9% | +0.5% | +1.3% | +4.2% | +2.7% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | -1.90 | -1.78 | +6.5% | +0.5% | +2.9% | -6.6% | -35.5% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | -1.75 | -1.93 | -10.0% | -1.7% | -0.9% | -0.4% | +1.3% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -1.76 | -1.55 | +11.9% | -1.7% | +4.2% | -9.4% | +5.5% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | -1.63 | -1.74 | -6.8% | +2.0% | +1.5% | +5.8% | -3.9% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 7.91 | -1.47 | -118.5% | -3.4% | -4.0% | +24.0% | +32.5% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | -1.61 | -1.69 | -4.9% | -3.3% | -4.1% | -1.6% | +3.2% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -1.68 | -1.45 | +13.9% | -0.2% | +2.7% | -4.8% | +26.7% |
| 2024-02-15 miss | -1.64 | -1.72 | -5.0% | -3.7% | +3.5% | +23.1% | +9.3% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | -1.64 | -1.64 | -0.1% | +0.9% | -1.4% | +1.7% | +9.9% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | -1.50 | -1.51 | -0.9% | -2.9% | -0.2% | +3.3% | +8.6% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -1.72 | -1.47 | +14.7% | -4.3% | +7.7% | +3.1% | +5.8% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | -1.53 | -1.66 | -8.4% | -1.0% | -1.7% | -7.1% | -16.6% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | -1.71 | -1.49 | +13.0% | -0.5% | -5.2% | +9.0% | +13.1% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | -1.78 | -1.68 | +5.5% | +2.5% | +14.7% | -9.2% | +11.3% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -1.76 | -1.74 | +1.1% | -4.7% | -4.7% | -6.9% | -20.4% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | -1.57 | -1.77 | -12.6% | -1.6% | +5.7% | +10.3% | -1.2% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | -1.57 | -1.51 | +3.5% | -1.6% | -0.3% | -13.4% | -31.1% |
| 2021-07-29 miss | -1.28 | -1.39 | -8.1% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -7.0% | -9.6% |
| 2021-04-29 miss | -1.26 | -1.31 | -4.0% | +0.3% | +0.6% | -1.2% | +0.0% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | -1.31 | -1.41 | -8.0% | -0.8% | -4.9% | -5.9% | -1.3% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | -1.36 | -1.43 | -5.5% | +0.7% | +1.3% | -1.4% | +4.1% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | -1.36 | -1.31 | +3.7% | -1.8% | -3.9% | -8.5% | -15.5% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | -1.64 | -0.59 | +63.9% | -1.1% | -5.5% | -4.4% | +26.6% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | -1.68 | -1.60 | +4.9% | +1.3% | +5.3% | +2.1% | -37.3% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | -1.81 | -1.81 | -0.2% | +0.2% | -4.9% | +12.3% | +28.7% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | -1.70 | -1.87 | -9.9% | -3.0% | -11.2% | +0.0% | -11.2% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | -1.75 | -1.59 | +9.2% | -1.3% | -3.2% | -0.8% | -7.2% |
| 2019-02-14 beat | -1.66 | -1.58 | +4.6% | -0.5% | +6.3% | +2.5% | +12.9% |
| 2018-11-01 miss | -1.62 | -1.63 | -0.7% | +0.1% | +8.6% | +5.0% | -17.1% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | -1.55 | -1.19 | +23.1% | +2.4% | -7.3% | -2.7% | +0.4% |
| 2018-05-04 beat | -1.65 | -1.63 | +1.4% | +1.0% | -2.1% | +8.0% | +15.8% |
| 2018-02-14 miss | -1.61 | -1.81 | -12.6% | -0.6% | +1.9% | +4.9% | +6.4% |
| 2017-11-01 beat | -1.78 | -1.59 | +10.5% | +3.9% | -3.5% | +3.9% | -1.4% |
| 2017-08-08 miss | -1.57 | -1.78 | -13.5% | -3.4% | -2.5% | -2.3% | +7.2% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | -1.80 | -1.56 | +13.2% | +2.1% | +1.0% | +7.8% | +3.1% |
| 2017-02-16 beat | -1.51 | -1.34 | +11.4% | +3.5% | +8.0% | -4.0% | +12.7% |
| 2016-11-03 miss | -1.51 | -1.63 | -8.2% | +6.4% | +3.3% | +33.9% | +4.7% |
| 2016-08-04 miss | -1.30 | -1.47 | -12.8% | +0.2% | -5.0% | -8.7% | -16.9% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | -0.93 | -0.61 | +34.5% | +2.6% | -2.3% | +3.9% | +38.3% |
| 2016-02-18 miss | -0.53 | -1.08 | -102.2% | -6.9% | -11.4% | -0.2% | -2.8% |
| 2015-11-05 miss | -0.76 | -1.07 | -40.6% | -4.6% | -3.4% | -15.2% | -34.5% |
| 2015-08-06 miss | -0.57 | -0.85 | -48.4% | -5.2% | -10.5% | -7.2% | -15.4% |
| 2015-05-07 beat | -0.92 | -0.13 | +85.9% | -2.1% | +3.1% | +14.5% | +22.8% |
| 2015-02-17 miss | -0.53 | -0.76 | -42.7% | -5.6% | -8.6% | -1.6% | -2.2% |
| 2014-11-07 beat | -0.35 | 0.10 | +128.4% | +2.2% | -13.3% | +16.7% | +53.4% |
| 2014-08-07 miss | -0.43 | -0.54 | -26.5% | +0.0% | +2.5% | +8.8% | +18.5% |
| 2014-05-08 miss | -0.37 | -0.39 | -6.4% | -3.1% | -9.8% | -9.8% | +15.8% |
| 2014-03-06 miss | -0.33 | -0.40 | -21.2% | +1.4% | +26.2% | +10.1% | -11.1% |
| 2013-11-07 miss | -0.27 | -0.47 | -72.0% | +0.0% | -11.5% | -2.4% | -1.8% |
| 2013-09-05 miss | -0.34 | -0.34 | -1.0% | +2.3% | -0.1% | -2.0% | +13.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.