AGIO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +1.4% | 5.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -1.8% | -0.3% | 3.0% | 20% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | -0.2% | 3.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | -1.8% | 8.6% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | -1.66 | -1.69 | -1.5% | -15.8% | -6.5% | -2.4% | +1.7% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | -1.79 | -1.69 | +5.7% | +6.9% | +13.1% | -3.8% | +4.8% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | -1.94 | -1.85 | +4.9% | +0.5% | +1.3% | +4.2% | +2.7% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | -1.90 | -1.78 | +6.5% | +0.5% | +2.9% | -6.6% | -35.5% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | -1.75 | -1.93 | -10.0% | -1.7% | -0.9% | -0.4% | +1.3% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -1.76 | -1.55 | +11.9% | -1.7% | +4.2% | -9.4% | +5.5% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | -1.63 | -1.74 | -6.8% | +2.0% | +1.5% | +5.8% | -3.9% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 7.91 | -1.47 | -118.5% | -3.4% | -4.0% | +24.0% | +32.5% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | -1.61 | -1.69 | -4.9% | -3.3% | -4.1% | -1.6% | +3.2% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -1.68 | -1.45 | +13.9% | -0.2% | +2.7% | -4.8% | +26.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.