AHT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +0.8% | 4.2% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +2.3% | -0.1% | 8.2% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +1.3% | -0.6% | 7.4% | 40% |
| 5-day | +6.2% | +1.7% | 19.0% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 beat | -6.64 | 1.62 | +124.4% | +0.0% | +2.0% | +6.7% | — |
| 2026-05-11 miss | -8.79 | -11.03 | -25.5% | -3.0% | -3.0% | -1.0% | +3.4% |
| 2026-02-25 | -12.33 | -12.33 | — | -1.7% | +1.0% | +6.0% | -4.7% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | -10.16 | -11.35 | -11.7% | -1.4% | +3.6% | -7.2% | -30.9% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | -7.36 | -6.88 | +6.5% | +0.5% | +0.6% | -1.6% | -5.8% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | -11.13 | -4.91 | +55.9% | +4.5% | +0.5% | +3.7% | -3.2% |
| 2025-02-25 miss | -11.64 | -23.83 | -104.7% | -3.0% | -0.4% | -7.2% | -12.1% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | -3.50 | -12.39 | -254.0% | -0.5% | -5.3% | +66.6% | +49.3% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | -16.30 | 2.50 | +115.3% | +7.3% | +8.3% | -12.5% | -6.7% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | -20.90 | 6.00 | +128.7% | -1.6% | +7.3% | -1.5% | -17.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.