AHT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 6.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | -0.4% | 9.3% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | -0.8% | 6.0% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | -2.4% | 19.2% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 beat | -6.64 | 1.62 | +124.4% | +0.0% | +2.0% | +6.7% | — |
| 2026-05-11 miss | -8.79 | -11.03 | -25.5% | -3.0% | -3.0% | -1.0% | +3.4% |
| 2026-02-25 | -12.33 | -12.33 | — | -1.7% | +1.0% | +6.0% | -4.7% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | -10.16 | -11.35 | -11.7% | -1.4% | +3.6% | -7.2% | -30.9% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | -7.36 | -6.88 | +6.5% | +0.5% | +0.6% | -1.6% | -5.8% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | -11.13 | -4.91 | +55.9% | +4.5% | +0.5% | +3.7% | -3.2% |
| 2025-02-25 miss | -11.64 | -23.83 | -104.7% | -3.0% | -0.4% | -7.2% | -12.1% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | -3.50 | -12.39 | -254.0% | -0.5% | -5.3% | +66.6% | +49.3% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | -16.30 | 2.50 | +115.3% | +7.3% | +8.3% | -12.5% | -6.7% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | -20.90 | 6.00 | +128.7% | -1.6% | +7.3% | -1.5% | -17.4% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | -18.40 | -9.00 | +51.1% | +11.2% | +8.4% | -21.2% | -31.6% |
| 2023-11-07 miss | -13.00 | -19.90 | -53.1% | +3.4% | -5.9% | +9.4% | +2.2% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | -11.50 | -8.80 | +23.5% | +0.0% | -6.1% | -18.7% | -19.5% |
| 2023-05-01 miss | -16.80 | -18.80 | -11.9% | -3.3% | -5.6% | +25.0% | +20.9% |
| 2023-02-21 miss | -15.10 | -17.50 | -15.9% | +0.4% | -4.7% | -10.9% | -49.3% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | -8.40 | -7.30 | +13.1% | -0.8% | -15.5% | -6.5% | -3.3% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | -7.90 | -2.70 | +65.8% | +1.2% | +7.2% | +10.0% | -6.2% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | -20.50 | -17.10 | +16.6% | -2.2% | +4.5% | -33.7% | -19.9% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | -16.00 | -19.20 | -20.0% | -8.5% | +7.1% | -11.8% | +5.6% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | -17.60 | -17.00 | +3.4% | +2.3% | +9.1% | +8.3% | -20.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.