AI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.2% | -5.0% | 14.3% | 43% |
| Day 2 | -2.3% | -3.0% | 6.2% | 26% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.4% | 4.5% | 57% |
| 5-day | -3.1% | -0.6% | 12.3% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | -0.25 | — | — | +2.1% | +3.6% | -3.3% | — |
| 2026-06-03 beat | -0.37 | -0.33 | +11.5% | +4.8% | -1.2% | +6.5% | -15.6% |
| 2026-02-25 miss | -0.29 | -0.40 | -38.3% | -24.4% | -18.5% | +11.8% | -7.6% |
| 2025-12-03 beat | -0.33 | -0.25 | +24.8% | -0.4% | +2.1% | +3.9% | -7.6% |
| 2025-09-03 miss | -0.21 | -0.37 | -75.3% | -10.4% | -7.3% | +6.1% | +23.9% |
| 2025-05-28 beat | -0.20 | -0.16 | +20.4% | +15.5% | +20.8% | -8.8% | -11.6% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | -0.25 | -0.12 | +52.0% | -5.6% | -9.7% | -10.0% | -8.7% |
| 2024-12-09 beat | -0.16 | -0.06 | +62.9% | -11.0% | +0.1% | +2.7% | -25.8% |
| 2024-09-04 beat | -0.13 | -0.05 | +62.6% | -16.6% | -8.2% | +8.3% | +14.0% |
| 2024-05-29 beat | -0.30 | -0.11 | +63.7% | +10.6% | +19.4% | +4.8% | +0.1% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | -0.28 | -0.13 | +52.9% | +18.4% | +24.5% | -14.1% | -28.6% |
| 2023-12-06 beat | -0.18 | -0.13 | +29.5% | -9.1% | -10.8% | +20.8% | +8.8% |
| 2023-09-05 beat | -0.17 | -0.09 | +47.9% | +2.0% | +0.1% | -11.7% | -23.0% |
| 2023-05-31 beat | -0.17 | -0.13 | +23.1% | -18.1% | -13.2% | +4.3% | +7.9% |
| 2023-03-02 beat | -0.22 | -0.06 | +72.6% | +18.7% | +33.6% | -25.3% | +18.9% |
| 2022-12-07 beat | -0.16 | -0.11 | +30.4% | +0.3% | +7.7% | -3.6% | -11.8% |
| 2022-08-31 beat | -0.24 | -0.12 | +50.8% | -14.7% | -19.3% | +3.4% | -11.4% |
| 2022-06-01 beat | -0.29 | -0.21 | +26.4% | -18.1% | -5.0% | +10.3% | +13.8% |
| 2022-03-02 beat | -0.25 | -0.07 | +72.5% | +11.8% | +3.4% | -14.8% | -1.8% |
| 2021-12-01 beat | -0.29 | -0.23 | +21.9% | -6.9% | -11.2% | +6.8% | +7.5% |
| 2021-09-01 beat | -0.28 | -0.23 | +17.8% | -8.9% | -10.2% | +4.9% | -9.5% |
| 2021-06-02 beat | -0.27 | -0.16 | +39.6% | -10.7% | -10.4% | -14.9% | -11.3% |
| 2021-03-01 beat | -0.16 | -0.15 | +5.3% | -11.7% | -18.6% | -13.8% | -33.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.