AIZ chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.7% | +0.9% | 5.9% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -0.7% | 1.8% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.8% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.5% | +0.5% | 6.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 5.18 | 6.41 | +23.7% | +4.6% | +7.2% | -6.8% | -4.6% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 5.33 | 5.95 | +11.7% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +2.5% | +8.8% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 5.50 | 5.61 | +1.9% | -0.9% | -8.6% | +3.2% | +1.2% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 4.28 | 5.73 | +34.0% | +2.8% | +1.7% | +3.7% | +2.1% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 4.45 | 5.10 | +14.5% | +3.6% | +11.2% | +1.7% | +0.5% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 2.78 | 3.39 | +22.1% | +2.6% | -0.4% | -0.4% | +3.3% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 4.13 | 4.79 | +15.9% | -0.8% | -2.6% | -3.1% | +1.9% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 2.64 | 3.00 | +13.6% | +1.9% | +6.9% | +3.3% | +8.6% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 3.61 | 4.08 | +13.1% | +1.7% | +0.0% | +9.3% | +13.2% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 3.92 | 4.78 | +21.9% | +2.0% | -1.1% | -0.6% | -1.8% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 3.71 | 4.58 | +23.3% | +2.9% | +3.8% | -2.0% | +1.8% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 2.59 | 4.29 | +65.7% | +6.6% | +11.8% | -4.2% | +1.1% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 2.75 | 3.89 | +41.2% | +0.6% | +0.1% | +1.0% | -2.4% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 2.32 | 2.75 | +18.5% | +4.5% | +9.3% | -2.1% | -6.5% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 2.70 | 3.23 | +19.8% | -3.4% | -3.2% | +0.4% | -11.1% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 1.00 | 1.01 | +0.8% | -1.2% | -2.7% | -6.4% | -1.9% |
| 2022-08-02 miss | 3.22 | 2.95 | -8.3% | -2.7% | -10.2% | +5.1% | +3.8% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 2.80 | 3.75 | +33.7% | -0.4% | +2.1% | -3.4% | -3.5% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 2.31 | 2.47 | +7.0% | +3.9% | +6.7% | +0.4% | +2.0% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | 1.55 | 1.41 | -8.8% | -0.2% | +2.3% | -3.5% | -8.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.