AIZ chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | -0.1% | 5.1% | 48% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.0% | 1.5% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 1.3% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.0% | +1.1% | 5.9% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 5.18 | 6.41 | +23.7% | +4.6% | +7.2% | -6.8% | -4.6% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 5.33 | 5.95 | +11.7% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +2.5% | +8.8% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 5.50 | 5.61 | +1.9% | -0.9% | -8.6% | +3.2% | +1.2% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 4.28 | 5.73 | +34.0% | +2.8% | +1.7% | +3.7% | +2.1% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 4.45 | 5.10 | +14.5% | +3.6% | +11.2% | +1.7% | +0.5% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 2.78 | 3.39 | +22.1% | +2.6% | -0.4% | -0.4% | +3.3% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 4.13 | 4.79 | +15.9% | -0.8% | -2.6% | -3.1% | +1.9% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 2.64 | 3.00 | +13.6% | +1.9% | +6.9% | +3.3% | +8.6% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 3.61 | 4.08 | +13.1% | +1.7% | +0.0% | +9.3% | +13.2% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 3.92 | 4.78 | +21.9% | +2.0% | -1.1% | -0.6% | -1.8% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 3.71 | 4.58 | +23.3% | +2.9% | +3.8% | -2.0% | +1.8% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 2.59 | 4.29 | +65.7% | +6.6% | +11.8% | -4.2% | +1.1% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 2.75 | 3.89 | +41.2% | +0.6% | +0.1% | +1.0% | -2.4% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 2.32 | 2.75 | +18.5% | +4.5% | +9.3% | -2.1% | -6.5% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 2.70 | 3.23 | +19.8% | -3.4% | -3.2% | +0.4% | -11.1% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 1.00 | 1.01 | +0.8% | -1.2% | -2.7% | -6.4% | -1.9% |
| 2022-08-02 miss | 3.22 | 2.95 | -8.3% | -2.7% | -10.2% | +5.1% | +3.8% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 2.80 | 3.75 | +33.7% | -0.4% | +2.1% | -3.4% | -3.5% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 2.31 | 2.47 | +7.0% | +3.9% | +6.7% | +0.4% | +2.0% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | 1.55 | 1.41 | -8.8% | -0.2% | +2.3% | -3.5% | -8.0% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 2.47 | 2.99 | +20.9% | -0.7% | -1.5% | +5.4% | +9.6% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 1.94 | 2.47 | +27.1% | -0.8% | +1.1% | -1.9% | +2.3% |
| 2021-02-09 miss | 2.08 | 1.82 | -12.7% | -0.8% | -5.7% | -4.4% | +6.1% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | 0.99 | 1.41 | +42.6% | +0.4% | -2.8% | +6.2% | +4.6% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 2.12 | 2.75 | +29.7% | +7.1% | +14.1% | +1.8% | -0.3% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 2.43 | 2.64 | +8.5% | +2.8% | -4.1% | -10.4% | +17.3% |
| 2020-02-11 miss | 2.35 | 2.25 | -4.2% | -1.9% | -2.1% | +3.6% | -23.5% |
| 2019-11-05 beat | 1.66 | 1.69 | +1.6% | -0.6% | +1.1% | +2.9% | +3.2% |
| 2019-08-06 beat | 2.12 | 2.34 | +10.2% | +1.2% | +7.5% | +2.1% | +5.5% |
| 2019-05-06 beat | 2.15 | 2.21 | +2.7% | +2.9% | +2.4% | -0.4% | +8.5% |
| 2019-02-12 beat | 0.42 | 0.77 | +83.3% | -0.4% | -0.8% | +0.3% | +0.8% |
| 2018-11-06 beat | 1.01 | 1.06 | +5.0% | -0.7% | +4.3% | -2.4% | -11.4% |
| 2018-08-07 beat | 1.75 | 2.13 | +21.6% | -0.8% | +1.2% | +0.0% | -3.5% |
| 2018-05-03 beat | 1.89 | 2.00 | +6.1% | -1.0% | -0.8% | -0.4% | +7.2% |
| 2018-02-08 beat | 1.57 | 1.84 | +16.8% | +1.6% | +3.3% | +2.2% | +1.2% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | -1.79 | -1.40 | +21.6% | -1.2% | -0.1% | -2.0% | -1.9% |
| 2017-08-01 beat | 1.60 | 1.63 | +2.0% | -0.9% | -2.3% | +1.1% | -8.8% |
| 2017-05-02 beat | 1.53 | 1.87 | +21.9% | +1.9% | +6.5% | -0.8% | -4.2% |
| 2017-02-07 miss | 0.53 | 0.46 | -12.6% | -2.1% | -6.8% | +6.4% | +10.2% |
| 2016-10-25 beat | 0.98 | 1.00 | +2.3% | +0.3% | -0.4% | -3.9% | +5.5% |
| 2016-07-26 beat | 1.35 | 1.42 | +5.2% | -1.2% | -3.2% | +0.4% | +4.6% |
| 2016-04-26 beat | 1.21 | 1.52 | +25.3% | +1.7% | +7.6% | +0.8% | +1.5% |
| 2016-02-09 miss | 1.55 | 0.97 | -37.4% | -4.8% | -13.4% | +3.3% | +17.2% |
| 2015-10-27 beat | 1.57 | 1.71 | +8.9% | -1.3% | +0.4% | +1.8% | +4.6% |
| 2015-07-28 beat | 1.60 | 2.07 | +29.1% | +2.9% | +1.7% | +3.5% | +1.3% |
| 2015-05-05 beat | 0.63 | 0.63 | +0.8% | -1.4% | +2.6% | -0.7% | +2.1% |
| 2015-02-12 miss | 1.66 | 0.87 | -47.6% | -5.9% | -7.5% | -2.0% | +0.7% |
| 2014-10-29 beat | 1.61 | 1.82 | +13.2% | -0.1% | +0.7% | +1.1% | -0.5% |
| 2014-07-23 beat | 1.54 | 1.62 | +4.9% | +1.2% | -0.1% | -3.7% | -1.2% |
| 2014-04-23 beat | 1.55 | 1.68 | +8.1% | -2.6% | +0.8% | +0.7% | -0.9% |
| 2014-02-05 miss | 1.43 | 1.42 | -0.5% | -3.1% | -1.5% | -0.2% | +7.3% |
| 2013-10-23 beat | 1.49 | 1.71 | +14.9% | -0.2% | -2.5% | +2.5% | +12.2% |
| 2013-07-24 beat | 1.43 | 1.53 | +7.1% | -0.7% | -0.5% | +3.7% | +6.3% |
| 2013-04-24 miss | 1.54 | 1.35 | -12.4% | -5.6% | -2.3% | +2.6% | +6.7% |
| 2013-02-06 beat | -0.28 | 0.07 | +125.4% | +2.6% | -1.1% | +9.4% | +13.5% |
| 2012-10-24 beat | 1.43 | 1.55 | +8.7% | +1.0% | -2.2% | -1.4% | -10.6% |
| 2012-07-25 beat | 1.38 | 1.81 | +30.9% | +2.1% | +4.4% | +3.5% | -1.7% |
| 2012-04-25 beat | 1.43 | 1.76 | +23.4% | +0.1% | -0.7% | -4.0% | -17.9% |
| 2012-02-01 beat | 1.36 | 1.65 | +21.0% | +2.9% | +2.2% | +4.3% | +4.7% |
| 2011-10-26 miss | 0.79 | 0.79 | -0.6% | +4.3% | +2.5% | -3.2% | -6.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.