AIZ chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.4% | -0.1% | 5.7% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -0.7% | 1.4% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +1.0% | 2.3% | 70% |
| 5-day | +2.7% | +1.1% | 6.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 5.18 | 6.41 | +23.7% | +4.6% | +7.2% | -6.8% | -4.6% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 5.33 | 5.95 | +11.7% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +2.5% | +8.8% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 5.50 | 5.61 | +1.9% | -0.9% | -8.6% | +3.2% | +1.2% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 4.28 | 5.73 | +34.0% | +2.8% | +1.7% | +3.7% | +2.1% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 4.45 | 5.10 | +14.5% | +3.6% | +11.2% | +1.7% | +0.5% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 2.78 | 3.39 | +22.1% | +2.6% | -0.4% | -0.4% | +3.3% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 4.13 | 4.79 | +15.9% | -0.8% | -2.6% | -3.1% | +1.9% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 2.64 | 3.00 | +13.6% | +1.9% | +6.9% | +3.3% | +8.6% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 3.61 | 4.08 | +13.1% | +1.7% | +0.0% | +9.3% | +13.2% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 3.92 | 4.78 | +21.9% | +2.0% | -1.1% | -0.6% | -1.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.