ALK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.4% | -3.6% | 5.0% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +1.5% | 1.7% | 80% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | +1.6% | 3.0% | 80% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | -0.4% | 6.8% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | -0.99 | -0.92 | +7.2% | -4.3% | -2.4% | +3.3% | -9.4% |
| 2026-04-20 miss | -1.59 | -1.68 | -5.8% | -3.5% | -4.8% | -4.0% | -3.9% |
| 2026-01-22 beat | 0.11 | 0.43 | +297.2% | -1.9% | +4.1% | -0.1% | +3.2% |
| 2025-10-23 miss | 1.10 | 1.05 | -4.7% | -5.1% | -6.1% | -4.7% | -8.0% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 1.54 | 1.78 | +15.7% | -2.8% | -5.7% | +4.2% | +17.1% |
| 2025-04-23 miss | -0.77 | -0.77 | -0.1% | -12.9% | -10.0% | +7.0% | +22.2% |
| 2025-01-22 beat | 0.47 | 0.97 | +106.7% | +3.5% | +2.2% | +8.1% | +5.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 2.22 | 2.25 | +1.5% | +0.0% | +1.4% | +6.4% | +11.0% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 2.38 | 2.55 | +7.3% | -3.9% | -6.9% | +3.8% | -6.6% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | -1.05 | -0.92 | +12.1% | +3.3% | +4.0% | +0.2% | -2.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.