ALK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.9% | +0.3% | 4.0% | 53% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.5% | 2.5% | 43% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +1.1% | 2.8% | 67% |
| 5-day | -0.9% | -0.7% | 5.3% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | -0.99 | -0.92 | +7.2% | -4.3% | -2.4% | +3.3% | -9.4% |
| 2026-04-20 miss | -1.59 | -1.68 | -5.8% | -3.5% | -4.8% | -4.0% | -3.9% |
| 2026-01-22 beat | 0.11 | 0.43 | +297.2% | -1.9% | +4.1% | -0.1% | +3.2% |
| 2025-10-23 miss | 1.10 | 1.05 | -4.7% | -5.1% | -6.1% | -4.7% | -8.0% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 1.54 | 1.78 | +15.7% | -2.8% | -5.7% | +4.2% | +17.1% |
| 2025-04-23 miss | -0.77 | -0.77 | -0.1% | -12.9% | -10.0% | +7.0% | +22.2% |
| 2025-01-22 beat | 0.47 | 0.97 | +106.7% | +3.5% | +2.2% | +8.1% | +5.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 2.22 | 2.25 | +1.5% | +0.0% | +1.4% | +6.4% | +11.0% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 2.38 | 2.55 | +7.3% | -3.9% | -6.9% | +3.8% | -6.6% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | -1.05 | -0.92 | +12.1% | +3.3% | +4.0% | +0.2% | -2.6% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 0.18 | 0.30 | +66.0% | +2.7% | +4.5% | -3.1% | +0.8% |
| 2023-10-19 miss | 1.87 | 1.83 | -2.0% | +1.3% | -1.5% | -1.2% | +14.3% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 2.70 | 3.00 | +10.9% | -5.6% | -9.7% | -0.6% | -11.5% |
| 2023-04-20 miss | -0.48 | -0.62 | -28.9% | +0.0% | -0.2% | -1.4% | +2.2% |
| 2023-01-26 miss | 0.93 | 0.92 | -0.7% | +0.3% | +0.5% | +4.4% | -6.6% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 2.39 | 2.53 | +5.9% | -1.1% | -4.7% | +8.5% | +17.1% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 1.97 | 2.19 | +11.3% | +0.4% | -0.5% | +1.9% | +5.2% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | -1.51 | -1.33 | +11.8% | +3.9% | +0.2% | -5.5% | -21.6% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +8.9% | +3.0% | +0.6% | +1.2% | +6.7% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 1.33 | 1.47 | +10.2% | +0.4% | -1.8% | -5.9% | -6.2% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | -0.44 | -0.30 | +31.8% | -1.3% | +0.7% | +1.5% | -6.3% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | -3.64 | -3.51 | +3.6% | +1.7% | -2.7% | +2.4% | +1.7% |
| 2021-01-26 beat | -2.93 | -2.55 | +12.8% | +1.1% | -2.0% | -2.3% | +26.5% |
| 2020-10-22 miss | -2.93 | -3.23 | -10.4% | -1.4% | +2.3% | -9.4% | +17.6% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | -3.86 | -3.54 | +8.3% | +0.4% | +1.0% | -5.5% | -3.4% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | -1.14 | -0.82 | +28.1% | +3.3% | +0.7% | -7.3% | +46.1% |
| 2020-01-28 beat | 1.41 | 1.46 | +3.7% | +0.3% | +2.1% | -0.8% | -24.6% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 2.52 | 2.63 | +4.3% | +0.3% | +4.1% | -2.0% | -3.9% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 2.13 | 2.17 | +2.0% | +0.6% | +1.7% | -2.5% | -10.1% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +12.4% | -0.1% | +2.5% | +3.1% | -0.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.