ALV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -3.2% | 6.0% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.6% | 1.7% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.3% | 1.3% | 60% |
| 5-day | -0.4% | +0.0% | 6.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 miss | 2.48 | 2.43 | -2.0% | -4.5% | -3.8% | -2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2026-04-17 beat | 1.82 | 2.05 | +12.6% | +12.4% | +6.8% | -0.9% | -2.6% |
| 2026-01-30 beat | 2.88 | 3.19 | +10.8% | -4.3% | -4.1% | +3.8% | -6.7% |
| 2025-10-17 beat | 2.09 | 2.32 | +11.1% | -2.7% | -2.6% | -1.9% | -0.7% |
| 2025-07-18 beat | 2.09 | 2.21 | +5.7% | -4.6% | -4.0% | +4.7% | +6.1% |
| 2025-04-16 beat | 1.67 | 2.15 | +28.5% | +4.7% | +5.6% | +6.2% | +17.4% |
| 2025-01-31 beat | 2.89 | 3.05 | +5.5% | -4.4% | -4.6% | -3.4% | -4.3% |
| 2024-10-18 miss | 1.99 | 1.84 | -7.4% | +6.6% | +6.0% | -4.8% | -1.4% |
| 2024-07-19 miss | 2.21 | 1.87 | -15.6% | -8.8% | -10.1% | +1.4% | +4.2% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | 1.40 | 1.58 | +12.7% | +4.0% | +5.6% | -0.7% | +5.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.