ALV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +1.8% | 5.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.2% | 1.8% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | +0.1% | 2.1% | 53% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +2.1% | 5.7% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 miss | 2.48 | 2.43 | -2.0% | -4.5% | -3.8% | -2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2026-04-17 beat | 1.82 | 2.05 | +12.6% | +12.4% | +6.8% | -0.9% | -2.6% |
| 2026-01-30 beat | 2.88 | 3.19 | +10.8% | -4.3% | -4.1% | +3.8% | -6.7% |
| 2025-10-17 beat | 2.09 | 2.32 | +11.1% | -2.7% | -2.6% | -1.9% | -0.7% |
| 2025-07-18 beat | 2.09 | 2.21 | +5.7% | -4.6% | -4.0% | +4.7% | +6.1% |
| 2025-04-16 beat | 1.67 | 2.15 | +28.5% | +4.7% | +5.6% | +6.2% | +17.4% |
| 2025-01-31 beat | 2.89 | 3.05 | +5.5% | -4.4% | -4.6% | -3.4% | -4.3% |
| 2024-10-18 miss | 1.99 | 1.84 | -7.4% | +6.6% | +6.0% | -4.8% | -1.4% |
| 2024-07-19 miss | 2.21 | 1.87 | -15.6% | -8.8% | -10.1% | +1.4% | +4.2% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | 1.40 | 1.58 | +12.7% | +4.0% | +5.6% | -0.7% | +5.6% |
| 2024-01-26 beat | 3.30 | 3.74 | +13.4% | +1.9% | +2.8% | +4.0% | +7.6% |
| 2023-10-20 miss | 1.83 | 1.66 | -9.1% | +2.3% | +7.0% | -4.2% | +6.5% |
| 2023-07-21 beat | 1.43 | 1.93 | +34.6% | +5.9% | +10.2% | -2.3% | -8.5% |
| 2023-04-21 beat | 0.89 | 0.90 | +1.1% | -5.2% | -5.3% | -1.5% | -0.8% |
| 2023-01-27 beat | 1.65 | 1.83 | +10.6% | +6.5% | +9.2% | -2.7% | -0.2% |
| 2022-10-21 miss | 1.26 | 1.23 | -2.6% | +4.3% | +4.1% | +4.9% | +12.7% |
| 2022-07-22 beat | 0.34 | 0.90 | +167.2% | +3.6% | +0.8% | +4.8% | -6.6% |
| 2022-04-22 miss | 1.05 | 0.45 | -57.2% | -7.6% | -7.3% | +2.5% | +6.0% |
| 2022-01-28 beat | 1.17 | 1.30 | +10.7% | +0.9% | +0.9% | +5.0% | -15.7% |
| 2021-10-22 miss | 0.87 | 0.73 | -16.2% | +1.2% | -3.1% | +5.0% | +13.4% |
| 2021-07-16 miss | 1.37 | 1.20 | -12.3% | -4.7% | -4.8% | +3.7% | +8.7% |
| 2021-04-23 beat | 1.42 | 1.79 | +26.3% | +3.6% | +8.0% | -4.9% | -2.0% |
| 2021-01-26 beat | 1.86 | 2.19 | +17.9% | +4.1% | +3.1% | +0.7% | -2.3% |
| 2020-10-23 beat | 1.20 | 1.48 | +23.3% | +1.0% | +0.9% | -10.8% | +5.7% |
| 2020-07-17 miss | -1.25 | -1.40 | -11.7% | -3.4% | -5.2% | +6.2% | +12.1% |
| 2020-04-24 beat | 0.74 | 0.88 | +18.7% | +6.9% | +7.3% | -4.2% | +8.8% |
| 2020-01-28 beat | 1.77 | 1.84 | +3.7% | +3.9% | +5.3% | -0.8% | -13.7% |
| 2019-10-25 miss | 1.41 | 1.30 | -7.9% | +0.0% | -0.4% | -3.2% | +0.9% |
| 2019-07-19 miss | 1.43 | 1.38 | -3.5% | +3.5% | +3.0% | +3.3% | -7.9% |
| 2019-04-26 miss | 1.59 | 1.20 | -24.7% | +1.8% | +3.6% | -4.7% | -19.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.