AME chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +1.9% | 5.6% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -0.3% | 2.1% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.9% | 1.1% | 70% |
| 5-day | +2.4% | +2.7% | 5.4% | 80% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 1.99 | 2.09 | +4.8% | +5.0% | +4.2% | +0.9% | -8.2% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.90 | 1.97 | +3.7% | +6.2% | +3.3% | -0.3% | -5.2% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 1.94 | 2.01 | +3.4% | -1.3% | +0.5% | +1.8% | -0.9% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.76 | 1.89 | +7.5% | +6.5% | +7.7% | -0.5% | -1.4% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.69 | 1.78 | +5.5% | +2.4% | +4.6% | -1.4% | +0.0% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.69 | 1.75 | +3.5% | -1.0% | -1.4% | +2.6% | +5.4% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.85 | 1.87 | +1.1% | -4.4% | -2.0% | +2.7% | +2.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.62 | 1.66 | +2.6% | +6.3% | +8.5% | +3.1% | +6.7% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.64 | 1.66 | +1.0% | -4.9% | -8.3% | -0.2% | +7.5% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.59 | 1.64 | +3.0% | -2.3% | -6.1% | +4.0% | +1.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.