AME chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.6% | 3.3% | 63% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 1.4% | 48% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.6% | 1.6% | 63% |
| 5-day | +1.6% | +1.6% | 4.6% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 1.99 | 2.09 | +4.8% | +5.0% | +4.2% | +0.9% | -8.2% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.90 | 1.97 | +3.7% | +6.2% | +3.3% | -0.3% | -5.2% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 1.94 | 2.01 | +3.4% | -1.3% | +0.5% | +1.8% | -0.9% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.76 | 1.89 | +7.5% | +6.5% | +7.7% | -0.5% | -1.4% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.69 | 1.78 | +5.5% | +2.4% | +4.6% | -1.4% | +0.0% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.69 | 1.75 | +3.5% | -1.0% | -1.4% | +2.6% | +5.4% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.85 | 1.87 | +1.1% | -4.4% | -2.0% | +2.7% | +2.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.62 | 1.66 | +2.6% | +6.3% | +8.5% | +3.1% | +6.7% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.64 | 1.66 | +1.0% | -4.9% | -8.3% | -0.2% | +7.5% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.59 | 1.64 | +3.0% | -2.3% | -6.1% | +4.0% | +1.8% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 1.63 | 1.68 | +3.1% | +0.6% | -0.5% | +1.2% | +9.3% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 1.58 | 1.64 | +3.9% | -2.3% | +0.5% | +4.1% | +10.3% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 1.51 | 1.57 | +4.1% | -0.6% | +0.5% | +0.7% | +0.5% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 1.41 | 1.49 | +5.5% | +1.4% | +4.5% | -0.8% | +0.9% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 1.47 | 1.52 | +3.3% | +0.2% | -0.4% | -0.1% | -0.8% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 1.37 | 1.45 | +5.8% | +2.2% | +1.8% | +3.9% | +8.5% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 1.30 | 1.38 | +6.1% | +7.8% | +2.0% | +0.0% | -3.7% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 1.28 | 1.33 | +4.3% | -1.2% | -1.6% | -2.8% | -0.9% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 1.30 | 1.37 | +5.3% | -3.7% | -1.1% | -2.0% | -6.3% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.18 | 1.26 | +6.5% | +0.7% | +4.3% | -0.4% | -0.7% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 1.10 | 1.15 | +4.2% | -0.3% | +0.4% | -1.4% | -3.3% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 1.01 | 1.07 | +5.5% | -0.4% | +1.3% | +0.1% | +0.6% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 1.03 | 1.08 | +4.9% | +0.8% | +0.5% | +3.8% | +5.4% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.94 | 1.01 | +7.5% | +0.1% | +0.7% | +10.3% | +19.8% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 0.73 | 0.84 | +15.8% | -1.9% | -0.5% | +5.0% | +9.1% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 0.96 | 1.02 | +5.8% | +2.4% | +1.9% | -0.5% | +16.0% |
| 2020-02-05 beat | 1.03 | 1.08 | +5.1% | -1.1% | +0.9% | +1.7% | -11.5% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 1.01 | 1.06 | +4.6% | +2.7% | +0.4% | +5.0% | +6.4% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 1.02 | 1.05 | +2.8% | +0.5% | +2.5% | -5.5% | -7.3% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 0.97 | 1.00 | +3.1% | +0.4% | -2.1% | -1.0% | -5.2% |
| 2019-02-05 beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +2.1% | +1.9% | +1.6% | +3.3% | +5.4% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 0.78 | 0.82 | +4.7% | +4.1% | +6.8% | +4.7% | +6.2% |
| 2018-07-31 beat | 0.78 | 0.83 | +6.2% | +0.5% | +2.3% | -0.4% | -0.6% |
| 2018-05-02 beat | 0.72 | 0.78 | +8.2% | +1.2% | +1.3% | +6.6% | +5.8% |
| 2018-02-01 beat | 0.67 | 0.70 | +4.7% | +1.3% | +2.1% | -7.5% | -3.5% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 0.62 | 0.66 | +6.5% | +0.8% | +1.7% | -0.5% | +5.0% |
| 2017-08-02 beat | 0.62 | 0.65 | +4.2% | -0.5% | +4.2% | -1.0% | -1.5% |
| 2017-05-02 beat | 0.56 | 0.60 | +6.2% | -0.1% | +2.5% | +2.2% | +4.2% |
| 2017-02-07 miss | 0.58 | 0.58 | -0.4% | +0.7% | +0.0% | +3.7% | +4.1% |
| 2016-11-01 beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +1.6% | +2.0% | +1.8% | +1.2% | +10.0% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | 0.59 | 0.59 | +0.1% | -7.2% | -2.0% | +3.4% | +7.1% |
| 2016-04-28 miss | 0.57 | 0.57 | -0.4% | -7.0% | -8.1% | -3.0% | -0.6% |
| 2016-02-05 miss | 0.63 | 0.63 | -0.5% | -5.8% | -2.8% | +0.7% | +5.3% |
| 2015-10-27 beat | 0.65 | 0.65 | +0.4% | -4.6% | -4.5% | +3.6% | +5.0% |
| 2015-08-04 beat | 0.64 | 0.64 | +0.4% | -0.3% | +0.8% | +3.6% | -1.8% |
| 2015-04-29 beat | 0.63 | 0.63 | +0.5% | -0.9% | +0.2% | -0.2% | +2.6% |
| 2015-01-28 beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +2.2% | +1.0% | -0.5% | +1.6% | +9.0% |
| 2014-10-28 beat | 0.61 | 0.62 | +2.1% | -2.2% | +0.6% | -0.5% | +0.2% |
| 2014-08-05 beat | 0.59 | 0.61 | +3.9% | +3.4% | +3.8% | +0.6% | +3.8% |
| 2014-05-06 beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +1.3% | +0.2% | -0.8% | +1.6% | +1.4% |
| 2014-01-29 beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +1.1% | +1.1% | -0.3% | -3.6% | +7.0% |
| 2013-10-29 miss | 0.52 | 0.52 | -0.0% | +3.6% | +3.7% | +0.2% | +3.5% |
| 2013-08-07 beat | 0.52 | 0.52 | +0.3% | -3.2% | -3.4% | -1.3% | -3.4% |
| 2013-04-25 beat | 0.51 | 0.53 | +3.8% | +0.1% | -0.5% | -2.1% | +4.9% |
| 2013-01-24 beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +2.2% | -0.1% | +3.5% | -0.3% | -0.1% |
| 2012-10-23 beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +1.9% | -0.9% | +2.0% | +7.1% | +7.5% |
| 2012-07-24 beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +3.0% | -3.5% | -5.5% | -1.6% | +9.1% |
| 2012-04-26 beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +4.0% | -0.5% | +1.9% | +0.8% | -1.8% |
| 2012-01-26 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +2.6% | -1.1% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +1.3% |
| 2011-10-25 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +1.4% | -1.7% | -2.8% | -2.1% | -1.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.