AMG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +0.8% | 4.7% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.4% | 1.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +1.7% | +2.1% | 2.3% | 80% |
| 5-day | -1.1% | -1.3% | 5.8% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 7.92 | 8.29 | +4.7% | +1.0% | +1.5% | +1.8% | +1.5% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 8.07 | 8.23 | +1.9% | +2.4% | -1.2% | +4.0% | +6.7% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 8.84 | 9.48 | +7.3% | +0.0% | +6.8% | -12.5% | -17.0% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 5.88 | 6.10 | +3.7% | +4.2% | +7.8% | +1.2% | +5.8% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 5.29 | 5.39 | +2.0% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -0.1% | +7.1% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 5.09 | 5.20 | +2.1% | +6.1% | +3.4% | -0.1% | +0.9% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 6.03 | 6.53 | +8.4% | +0.7% | +0.2% | -7.8% | -15.4% |
| 2024-11-04 miss | 4.84 | 4.82 | -0.4% | -5.0% | -8.6% | +5.6% | +5.1% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 4.60 | 4.67 | +1.4% | +0.0% | +3.9% | -12.6% | -5.9% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 5.24 | 5.37 | +2.5% | -1.5% | -1.9% | -0.4% | +0.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.