AMG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +1.0% | 6.6% | 63% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 2.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.5% | 2.3% | 63% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | -0.5% | 10.0% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 7.92 | 8.29 | +4.7% | +1.0% | +1.5% | +1.8% | +1.5% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 8.07 | 8.23 | +1.9% | +2.4% | -1.2% | +4.0% | +6.7% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 8.84 | 9.48 | +7.3% | +0.0% | +6.8% | -12.5% | -17.0% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 5.88 | 6.10 | +3.7% | +4.2% | +7.8% | +1.2% | +5.8% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 5.29 | 5.39 | +2.0% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -0.1% | +7.1% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 5.09 | 5.20 | +2.1% | +6.1% | +3.4% | -0.1% | +0.9% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 6.03 | 6.53 | +8.4% | +0.7% | +0.2% | -7.8% | -15.4% |
| 2024-11-04 miss | 4.84 | 4.82 | -0.4% | -5.0% | -8.6% | +5.6% | +5.1% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 4.60 | 4.67 | +1.4% | +0.0% | +3.9% | -12.6% | -5.9% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 5.24 | 5.37 | +2.5% | -1.5% | -1.9% | -0.4% | +0.8% |
| 2024-02-05 beat | 6.00 | 6.86 | +14.2% | +3.2% | +4.8% | +0.1% | +1.3% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 3.74 | 4.08 | +9.1% | +7.5% | +2.0% | +0.0% | +4.7% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 4.23 | 4.45 | +5.1% | -3.9% | -12.4% | -2.3% | -7.4% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | 4.15 | 4.18 | +0.6% | -1.0% | +0.5% | -2.2% | -4.2% |
| 2023-02-06 beat | 7.04 | 7.28 | +3.4% | -3.6% | -3.6% | -1.9% | -7.7% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 3.91 | 4.21 | +7.7% | +7.2% | +11.4% | +10.5% | +14.5% |
| 2022-08-01 beat | 3.97 | 4.03 | +1.6% | +1.9% | +2.5% | +1.5% | -1.6% |
| 2022-05-02 beat | 4.34 | 4.65 | +7.0% | -2.1% | +3.6% | -4.0% | +1.1% |
| 2022-02-07 beat | 5.81 | 6.10 | +5.0% | +1.2% | -0.3% | -3.5% | -10.7% |
| 2021-11-01 beat | 3.91 | 4.00 | +2.3% | +2.2% | +10.7% | -0.4% | -9.9% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 3.85 | 4.03 | +4.6% | -2.1% | -7.0% | +3.3% | +8.1% |
| 2021-05-03 beat | 4.24 | 4.28 | +1.0% | -0.6% | +0.1% | +7.9% | +3.0% |
| 2021-02-08 beat | 3.68 | 4.22 | +14.7% | +5.2% | +17.5% | +10.5% | +6.7% |
| 2020-10-26 beat | 2.85 | 3.27 | +14.9% | -0.2% | -0.8% | -2.9% | +16.0% |
| 2020-07-27 beat | 2.71 | 2.74 | +1.1% | +0.2% | +1.8% | -4.5% | -0.7% |
| 2020-04-27 beat | 3.08 | 3.16 | +2.5% | +3.1% | +10.7% | -1.3% | +8.6% |
| 2020-02-03 beat | 4.09 | 4.52 | +10.7% | +3.3% | +0.5% | +2.6% | -6.0% |
| 2019-10-28 beat | 3.14 | 3.16 | +0.8% | +1.0% | +5.4% | +5.6% | +5.1% |
| 2019-07-29 beat | 3.18 | 3.33 | +4.6% | +1.5% | -3.8% | -8.8% | -13.6% |
| 2019-05-06 miss | 3.26 | 3.26 | -0.0% | -3.9% | -11.6% | -7.3% | -10.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.