AN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +1.1% | 3.9% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -2.1% | -2.8% | 2.0% | 20% |
| Day 3 | -1.5% | -1.0% | 2.4% | 30% |
| 5-day | -3.0% | -2.8% | 4.0% | 20% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 5.46 | 5.56 | +1.8% | -7.7% | -1.0% | -1.5% | -5.2% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 4.61 | 4.69 | +1.8% | +1.5% | -1.1% | -1.9% | -9.0% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | 4.88 | 5.08 | +4.2% | -0.5% | +6.2% | -6.9% | -11.4% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 4.84 | 5.01 | +3.6% | -1.4% | -3.6% | -6.2% | -0.8% |
| 2025-07-25 beat | 4.70 | 5.46 | +16.1% | +4.1% | +1.5% | -6.2% | +7.8% |
| 2025-04-25 beat | 4.38 | 4.68 | +6.9% | -6.0% | +1.0% | +1.0% | +5.9% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 4.26 | 4.97 | +16.8% | +1.2% | +1.3% | -2.7% | -19.7% |
| 2024-10-25 miss | 4.36 | 4.02 | -7.8% | -3.3% | -4.5% | +0.3% | +15.2% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 4.18 | 3.99 | -4.6% | +0.9% | +6.3% | -13.8% | -6.1% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | 4.25 | 4.49 | +5.7% | +3.5% | +5.9% | -2.8% | -0.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.