AN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +1.3% | 5.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.3% | 3.6% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.2% | 3.2% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | +0.1% | 6.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 5.46 | 5.56 | +1.8% | -7.7% | -1.0% | -1.5% | -5.2% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 4.61 | 4.69 | +1.8% | +1.5% | -1.1% | -1.9% | -9.0% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | 4.88 | 5.08 | +4.2% | -0.5% | +6.2% | -6.9% | -11.4% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 4.84 | 5.01 | +3.6% | -1.4% | -3.6% | -6.2% | -0.8% |
| 2025-07-25 beat | 4.70 | 5.46 | +16.1% | +4.1% | +1.5% | -6.2% | +7.8% |
| 2025-04-25 beat | 4.38 | 4.68 | +6.9% | -6.0% | +1.0% | +1.0% | +5.9% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 4.26 | 4.97 | +16.8% | +1.2% | +1.3% | -2.7% | -19.7% |
| 2024-10-25 miss | 4.36 | 4.02 | -7.8% | -3.3% | -4.5% | +0.3% | +15.2% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 4.18 | 3.99 | -4.6% | +0.9% | +6.3% | -13.8% | -6.1% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | 4.25 | 4.49 | +5.7% | +3.5% | +5.9% | -2.8% | -0.1% |
| 2024-02-13 beat | 4.88 | 5.02 | +2.9% | -0.4% | -3.9% | -7.0% | +5.0% |
| 2023-10-27 beat | 5.50 | 5.54 | +0.8% | +3.5% | +0.1% | +7.2% | +1.6% |
| 2023-07-21 beat | 5.91 | 6.29 | +6.4% | -1.1% | -12.3% | +1.7% | +3.6% |
| 2023-04-20 beat | 5.74 | 6.05 | +5.4% | +0.5% | -4.1% | +0.8% | +1.9% |
| 2023-02-17 beat | 5.84 | 6.37 | +9.1% | +3.9% | +11.4% | -11.2% | -17.5% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 6.27 | 6.00 | -4.4% | +0.7% | +2.7% | +1.7% | +13.4% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 6.22 | 6.48 | +4.2% | -1.6% | -5.4% | +1.5% | +8.6% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 5.25 | 5.78 | +10.1% | +0.8% | -3.6% | +14.1% | +6.4% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 4.96 | 5.76 | +16.1% | +0.9% | -3.8% | +5.5% | +10.3% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 4.21 | 5.12 | +21.7% | +9.1% | +7.7% | -4.1% | -6.5% |
| 2021-07-19 beat | 2.81 | 4.83 | +72.1% | +1.5% | +3.6% | +8.7% | +7.9% |
| 2021-04-20 beat | 1.87 | 2.79 | +48.8% | +1.9% | -4.4% | +8.8% | +7.4% |
| 2021-02-16 beat | 2.01 | 2.43 | +20.8% | +2.2% | +1.3% | -3.1% | +13.2% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 1.65 | 2.38 | +44.6% | +7.5% | +1.9% | -11.1% | -5.9% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | 0.46 | 1.41 | +206.3% | +7.0% | +7.6% | -1.8% | +10.6% |
| 2020-05-11 beat | 0.72 | 0.91 | +27.3% | +8.6% | +2.8% | -0.5% | +3.4% |
| 2020-02-11 beat | 1.15 | 1.31 | +14.2% | +9.8% | +6.3% | +3.3% | -29.3% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 1.13 | 1.22 | +8.1% | -1.0% | -2.2% | +3.6% | +2.6% |
| 2019-07-22 beat | 1.07 | 1.20 | +11.8% | +5.2% | +10.8% | +4.6% | +1.8% |
| 2019-04-26 beat | 0.92 | 1.04 | +13.2% | +0.4% | +7.1% | -1.5% | -5.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.