AON chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.5% | 4.7% | 35% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.8% | 1.8% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.3% | 1.5% | 60% |
| 5-day | -1.0% | -0.9% | 5.3% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 3.80 | 3.81 | +0.3% | -3.6% | -1.1% | -4.6% | -7.3% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 6.35 | 6.48 | +2.0% | +4.8% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +2.0% |
| 2026-01-30 beat | 4.75 | 4.85 | +2.2% | +1.2% | +2.0% | -2.2% | -3.0% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 2.91 | 3.05 | +4.7% | +2.5% | +3.8% | +1.7% | +1.5% |
| 2025-07-25 beat | 3.41 | 3.49 | +2.5% | +3.3% | +4.6% | -5.2% | -0.5% |
| 2025-04-25 miss | 6.04 | 5.67 | -6.1% | -6.5% | -8.0% | +6.1% | +8.7% |
| 2025-01-31 beat | 4.25 | 4.42 | +4.0% | -0.3% | -0.4% | +4.2% | +9.1% |
| 2024-10-25 beat | 2.47 | 2.72 | +10.0% | +7.1% | +5.2% | -2.9% | +3.8% |
| 2024-07-26 miss | 3.08 | 2.93 | -4.9% | +2.7% | +8.0% | +2.2% | +4.6% |
| 2024-04-26 miss | 5.92 | 5.66 | -4.4% | -11.5% | -6.9% | -1.8% | -2.0% |
| 2024-02-02 miss | 4.06 | 3.89 | -4.3% | -1.6% | -2.5% | +6.9% | +7.8% |
| 2023-10-27 beat | 2.21 | 2.32 | +5.0% | -3.3% | -4.0% | +5.3% | +5.3% |
| 2023-07-28 miss | 2.84 | 2.76 | -2.6% | -0.6% | -5.1% | -1.5% | +3.7% |
| 2023-04-28 miss | 5.32 | 5.17 | -2.8% | -1.5% | -2.3% | +1.0% | -4.1% |
| 2023-02-03 beat | 3.66 | 3.89 | +6.3% | -2.5% | -2.9% | +1.3% | -3.8% |
| 2022-10-28 beat | 1.99 | 2.02 | +1.3% | -1.8% | +2.4% | -3.3% | +4.7% |
| 2022-07-29 beat | 2.55 | 2.63 | +3.1% | -0.3% | -0.6% | -1.2% | -2.8% |
| 2022-04-29 beat | 4.81 | 4.83 | +0.4% | -1.1% | -9.4% | -0.6% | -4.3% |
| 2022-02-04 beat | 3.34 | 3.71 | +10.9% | +1.4% | +5.4% | -2.7% | -4.9% |
| 2021-10-29 beat | 1.70 | 1.74 | +2.3% | -1.2% | -0.4% | -9.8% | -7.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.