AON chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.0% | -0.3% | 3.8% | 43% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.2% | 1.5% | 42% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 1.2% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | +0.3% | 5.1% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 3.80 | 3.81 | +0.3% | -3.6% | -1.1% | -4.6% | -7.3% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 6.35 | 6.48 | +2.0% | +4.8% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +2.0% |
| 2026-01-30 beat | 4.75 | 4.85 | +2.2% | +1.2% | +2.0% | -2.2% | -3.0% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 2.91 | 3.05 | +4.7% | +2.5% | +3.8% | +1.7% | +1.5% |
| 2025-07-25 beat | 3.41 | 3.49 | +2.5% | +3.3% | +4.6% | -5.2% | -0.5% |
| 2025-04-25 miss | 6.04 | 5.67 | -6.1% | -6.5% | -8.0% | +6.1% | +8.7% |
| 2025-01-31 beat | 4.25 | 4.42 | +4.0% | -0.3% | -0.4% | +4.2% | +9.1% |
| 2024-10-25 beat | 2.47 | 2.72 | +10.0% | +7.1% | +5.2% | -2.9% | +3.8% |
| 2024-07-26 miss | 3.08 | 2.93 | -4.9% | +2.7% | +8.0% | +2.2% | +4.6% |
| 2024-04-26 miss | 5.92 | 5.66 | -4.4% | -11.5% | -6.9% | -1.8% | -2.0% |
| 2024-02-02 miss | 4.06 | 3.89 | -4.3% | -1.6% | -2.5% | +6.9% | +7.8% |
| 2023-10-27 beat | 2.21 | 2.32 | +5.0% | -3.3% | -4.0% | +5.3% | +5.3% |
| 2023-07-28 miss | 2.84 | 2.76 | -2.6% | -0.6% | -5.1% | -1.5% | +3.7% |
| 2023-04-28 miss | 5.32 | 5.17 | -2.8% | -1.5% | -2.3% | +1.0% | -4.1% |
| 2023-02-03 beat | 3.66 | 3.89 | +6.3% | -2.5% | -2.9% | +1.3% | -3.8% |
| 2022-10-28 beat | 1.99 | 2.02 | +1.3% | -1.8% | +2.4% | -3.3% | +4.7% |
| 2022-07-29 beat | 2.55 | 2.63 | +3.1% | -0.3% | -0.6% | -1.2% | -2.8% |
| 2022-04-29 beat | 4.81 | 4.83 | +0.4% | -1.1% | -9.4% | -0.6% | -4.3% |
| 2022-02-04 beat | 3.34 | 3.71 | +10.9% | +1.4% | +5.4% | -2.7% | -4.9% |
| 2021-10-29 beat | 1.70 | 1.74 | +2.3% | -1.2% | -0.4% | -9.8% | -7.5% |
| 2021-07-30 beat | 1.85 | 2.29 | +24.1% | -0.5% | -1.4% | +0.6% | +9.7% |
| 2021-04-30 beat | 4.05 | 4.28 | +5.6% | +0.3% | +5.1% | +2.8% | +0.7% |
| 2021-02-05 beat | 2.46 | 2.62 | +6.6% | +1.2% | +7.3% | +2.2% | +3.7% |
| 2020-10-30 beat | 1.48 | 1.53 | +3.0% | +0.2% | -1.5% | +3.4% | +14.5% |
| 2020-07-31 beat | 1.92 | 1.96 | +1.8% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -4.8% | -2.5% |
| 2020-05-01 beat | 3.67 | 3.68 | +0.4% | -0.7% | +3.2% | +6.5% | +9.3% |
| 2020-01-31 beat | 2.47 | 2.53 | +2.3% | +1.9% | +0.3% | +4.5% | -2.5% |
| 2019-10-25 beat | 1.43 | 1.45 | +1.4% | +1.4% | -1.4% | +3.8% | +6.3% |
| 2019-07-26 beat | 1.87 | 1.87 | +0.0% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -1.8% | -1.6% |
| 2019-04-26 beat | 3.30 | 3.31 | +0.2% | +0.4% | +0.3% | -0.8% | -0.5% |
| 2019-02-01 beat | 2.13 | 2.16 | +1.4% | +1.0% | +7.2% | +0.4% | -6.1% |
| 2018-10-26 beat | 1.22 | 1.31 | +7.3% | +1.3% | +1.6% | +2.5% | +6.0% |
| 2018-07-27 beat | 1.64 | 1.71 | +4.1% | -0.9% | -2.5% | -1.0% | +0.6% |
| 2018-05-04 beat | 2.81 | 2.97 | +5.6% | -0.6% | -0.4% | +3.3% | +0.9% |
| 2018-02-02 beat | 2.34 | 2.35 | +0.2% | -0.9% | -0.6% | -4.0% | -1.0% |
| 2017-10-27 beat | 1.28 | 1.29 | +0.9% | -2.9% | -3.3% | -5.2% | -4.3% |
| 2017-08-04 beat | 1.44 | 1.45 | +0.5% | +0.7% | +0.0% | -0.4% | +1.0% |
| 2017-05-09 beat | 1.27 | 1.45 | +13.8% | +1.7% | +1.2% | +1.4% | +6.0% |
| 2017-02-10 beat | 2.49 | 2.56 | +2.8% | +1.9% | +0.4% | +1.7% | +2.4% |
| 2016-10-28 beat | 1.28 | 1.29 | +1.0% | +1.4% | +2.7% | -3.2% | +2.1% |
| 2016-07-29 miss | 1.39 | 1.39 | -0.2% | -2.2% | -3.0% | +3.3% | +4.1% |
| 2016-04-29 beat | 1.33 | 1.35 | +1.6% | -0.5% | +1.9% | -0.3% | +3.9% |
| 2016-02-05 beat | 2.08 | 2.27 | +8.9% | +0.3% | +4.4% | +1.0% | +6.0% |
| 2015-10-30 miss | 1.24 | 1.24 | -0.1% | -1.9% | -1.6% | +0.3% | +2.6% |
| 2015-07-31 beat | 1.30 | 1.31 | +0.9% | +0.1% | -1.1% | +0.5% | -7.3% |
| 2015-05-01 beat | 1.28 | 1.37 | +6.9% | +0.7% | +2.3% | +1.5% | +2.8% |
| 2015-02-06 beat | 1.86 | 1.89 | +1.5% | +1.4% | +2.9% | +4.3% | -0.4% |
| 2014-10-31 beat | 1.12 | 1.29 | +14.7% | +0.5% | +3.5% | +4.4% | +7.7% |
| 2014-07-25 beat | 1.20 | 1.25 | +3.9% | -1.0% | -5.1% | -2.8% | +1.3% |
| 2014-04-25 beat | 1.18 | 1.28 | +8.7% | -0.1% | +3.4% | +0.1% | +5.0% |
| 2014-01-31 beat | 1.51 | 1.54 | +1.7% | -1.9% | -0.3% | +0.7% | +6.5% |
| 2013-10-25 beat | 1.04 | 1.13 | +8.9% | -0.5% | +2.6% | +1.6% | +4.9% |
| 2013-07-26 beat | 1.10 | 1.11 | +0.7% | -0.7% | +0.0% | +2.3% | +0.3% |
| 2013-04-26 beat | 1.09 | 1.11 | +2.1% | -0.3% | -3.7% | +7.3% | +11.9% |
| 2013-02-01 beat | 1.25 | 1.27 | +1.2% | +1.4% | -2.8% | +0.7% | +8.2% |
| 2012-10-26 beat | 0.88 | 0.95 | +7.7% | +0.7% | +2.8% | +4.6% | +5.6% |
| 2012-07-27 beat | 1.01 | 1.02 | +1.4% | +1.6% | +6.1% | +2.4% | +5.8% |
| 2012-05-04 beat | 0.87 | 0.98 | +12.2% | -2.6% | -5.8% | -0.5% | -6.0% |
| 2012-02-03 beat | 0.96 | 0.97 | +1.2% | -4.5% | -2.7% | +1.0% | -1.9% |
| 2011-10-28 miss | 0.72 | 0.69 | -4.7% | -3.2% | -5.8% | -1.2% | -7.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.