APD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.5% | +1.2% | 4.1% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.2% | 2.1% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | -0.2% | 1.6% | 40% |
| 5-day | +2.8% | +2.5% | 5.3% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 3.34 | 3.47 | +3.8% | +4.9% | +2.0% | -0.1% | +2.6% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 3.06 | 3.20 | +4.5% | -1.2% | -0.8% | -1.7% | -7.1% |
| 2026-01-30 beat | 3.04 | 3.16 | +3.9% | +4.4% | +6.4% | +3.9% | +0.2% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 3.38 | 3.39 | +0.2% | +5.0% | +8.9% | +1.6% | -8.8% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 2.99 | 3.09 | +3.2% | +0.8% | -0.8% | +0.2% | +2.2% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 2.83 | 2.69 | -4.9% | -4.6% | +0.4% | -0.9% | +2.4% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 2.84 | 2.86 | +0.7% | -1.0% | -1.5% | -4.0% | -7.4% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 3.47 | 3.56 | +2.5% | +1.0% | +2.0% | +1.0% | +1.2% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 3.04 | 3.20 | +5.3% | +9.4% | +9.0% | -2.9% | -3.0% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 2.70 | 2.85 | +5.5% | -2.3% | -0.7% | +5.2% | +10.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.