APD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -0.3% | 4.9% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 1.9% | 48% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.4% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | +0.2% | 6.6% | 52% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 3.34 | 3.47 | +3.8% | +4.9% | +2.0% | -0.1% | +2.6% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 3.06 | 3.20 | +4.5% | -1.2% | -0.8% | -1.7% | -7.1% |
| 2026-01-30 beat | 3.04 | 3.16 | +3.9% | +4.4% | +6.4% | +3.9% | +0.2% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 3.38 | 3.39 | +0.2% | +5.0% | +8.9% | +1.6% | -8.8% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 2.99 | 3.09 | +3.2% | +0.8% | -0.8% | +0.2% | +2.2% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 2.83 | 2.69 | -4.9% | -4.6% | +0.4% | -0.9% | +2.4% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 2.84 | 2.86 | +0.7% | -1.0% | -1.5% | -4.0% | -7.4% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 3.47 | 3.56 | +2.5% | +1.0% | +2.0% | +1.0% | +1.2% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 3.04 | 3.20 | +5.3% | +9.4% | +9.0% | -2.9% | -3.0% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 2.70 | 2.85 | +5.5% | -2.3% | -0.7% | +5.2% | +10.2% |
| 2024-02-05 miss | 3.00 | 2.82 | -6.1% | -12.1% | -15.6% | +2.1% | +11.5% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 3.11 | 3.15 | +1.2% | -6.7% | -12.6% | +5.5% | +3.0% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 2.91 | 2.98 | +2.2% | -3.1% | -5.8% | +1.6% | +5.7% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 2.66 | 2.74 | +3.1% | +0.1% | -5.3% | -1.6% | +1.2% |
| 2023-02-02 miss | 2.70 | 2.64 | -2.2% | -7.2% | -7.1% | -2.9% | -0.8% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 2.76 | 2.89 | +4.6% | +1.5% | +7.7% | +9.7% | +19.3% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 2.61 | 2.62 | +0.4% | +1.0% | +4.9% | +2.7% | -4.3% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 2.37 | 2.38 | +0.3% | +0.0% | -4.7% | -1.9% | +9.1% |
| 2022-02-04 beat | 2.50 | 2.52 | +1.0% | -4.5% | -6.3% | -7.1% | -16.8% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 2.49 | 2.51 | +1.0% | -2.6% | -0.3% | +3.1% | -2.8% |
| 2021-08-09 miss | 2.38 | 2.31 | -2.8% | -0.2% | -5.2% | +2.1% | -2.9% |
| 2021-05-10 miss | 2.11 | 2.08 | -1.6% | +2.4% | +1.0% | +2.8% | +1.3% |
| 2021-02-04 miss | 2.20 | 2.12 | -3.5% | -5.3% | -7.2% | +0.4% | +4.0% |
| 2020-11-11 miss | 2.21 | 2.19 | -0.7% | -4.2% | -9.4% | -4.7% | -4.8% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | 1.98 | 2.01 | +1.6% | -2.1% | -0.8% | -2.9% | -2.3% |
| 2020-04-23 miss | 2.06 | 2.04 | -1.1% | +1.8% | -1.5% | +6.8% | +10.9% |
| 2020-01-24 beat | 2.08 | 2.14 | +3.0% | +0.1% | +2.8% | -2.1% | -3.5% |
| 2019-11-07 miss | 2.29 | 2.27 | -0.9% | +1.0% | +4.0% | +4.7% | +1.4% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 2.13 | 2.17 | +1.8% | -0.4% | +1.2% | -0.6% | -3.1% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 1.87 | 1.92 | +2.6% | +0.4% | +1.4% | +1.4% | +2.4% |
| 2019-01-25 miss | 1.87 | 1.86 | -0.6% | +2.2% | +2.8% | +3.1% | +12.8% |
| 2018-11-06 beat | 1.99 | 2.00 | +0.4% | -1.2% | +0.5% | +0.0% | -0.6% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 1.84 | 1.95 | +6.0% | +1.0% | +2.7% | -1.0% | +2.7% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 1.68 | 1.71 | +1.7% | -0.6% | +0.4% | -3.5% | -0.8% |
| 2018-01-26 beat | 1.66 | 1.73 | +4.0% | -5.6% | -2.4% | -4.1% | -3.7% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 1.68 | 1.76 | +5.0% | +3.4% | +4.4% | -1.2% | -0.3% |
| 2017-08-01 beat | 1.59 | 1.65 | +3.5% | +4.1% | +4.8% | -2.1% | -2.3% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 1.38 | 1.43 | +3.9% | -0.2% | -0.3% | +2.6% | +2.0% |
| 2017-01-27 miss | 1.48 | 1.47 | -0.4% | -5.9% | -4.6% | -1.3% | -1.1% |
| 2016-10-27 beat | 1.98 | 2.01 | +1.6% | +0.4% | +0.3% | -0.2% | +6.3% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 1.90 | 1.92 | +0.8% | +1.7% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +3.5% |
| 2016-04-28 beat | 1.81 | 1.82 | +0.8% | -0.3% | +0.2% | -3.6% | -3.7% |
| 2016-01-29 beat | 1.71 | 1.78 | +4.3% | +2.8% | +6.5% | +7.0% | +6.1% |
| 2015-10-29 beat | 1.80 | 1.82 | +0.8% | -3.2% | -3.4% | +0.0% | -0.3% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | 1.58 | 1.65 | +4.2% | +6.2% | +6.1% | +3.3% | -1.2% |
| 2015-04-30 beat | 1.55 | 1.55 | +0.3% | +1.0% | -5.6% | +1.9% | +2.8% |
| 2015-01-29 beat | 1.49 | 1.55 | +4.0% | +3.0% | +5.9% | +3.1% | +7.6% |
| 2014-10-30 beat | 1.62 | 1.66 | +2.6% | +1.7% | +3.7% | +1.1% | +7.9% |
| 2014-07-23 beat | 1.45 | 1.46 | +1.0% | -0.1% | +4.4% | -0.6% | -2.2% |
| 2014-04-23 miss | 1.35 | 1.32 | -2.4% | +0.4% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -0.2% |
| 2014-01-28 beat | 1.33 | 1.34 | +0.7% | +0.7% | +1.5% | -3.5% | +10.7% |
| 2013-10-29 beat | 1.47 | 1.47 | +0.1% | -1.2% | -1.9% | +1.5% | +1.5% |
| 2013-07-23 beat | 1.36 | 1.36 | +0.1% | +3.2% | +2.8% | +4.9% | +1.0% |
| 2013-04-23 beat | 1.37 | 1.37 | +0.2% | -0.7% | -1.3% | +2.1% | +11.7% |
| 2013-01-23 beat | 1.29 | 1.30 | +0.7% | +0.1% | -1.1% | -0.5% | -2.7% |
| 2012-10-19 miss | 1.43 | 1.42 | -1.0% | -2.8% | -6.3% | -2.6% | +2.4% |
| 2012-07-24 beat | 1.41 | 1.41 | +0.1% | -0.1% | -0.9% | +2.0% | +7.8% |
| 2012-04-24 beat | 1.35 | 1.39 | +3.3% | -3.7% | -4.5% | +1.7% | -6.1% |
| 2012-01-24 beat | 1.36 | 1.36 | +0.2% | -1.9% | -2.6% | +0.5% | +4.9% |
| 2011-10-21 miss | 1.51 | 1.51 | -0.1% | -2.6% | -0.4% | +8.1% | -4.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.