APO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +1.6% | 4.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -1.1% | 5.1% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -1.7% | -2.8% | 2.8% | 20% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +1.4% | 9.6% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 2.16 | 2.11 | -2.2% | -1.1% | +2.9% | +5.3% | -0.7% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 1.88 | 1.94 | +2.9% | +2.9% | -0.6% | +1.6% | -1.2% |
| 2026-02-09 beat | 2.04 | 2.47 | +21.3% | +1.0% | +0.7% | -6.6% | -20.8% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 1.90 | 2.17 | +14.2% | +6.7% | +5.3% | +1.8% | +4.8% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 1.84 | 1.92 | +4.2% | +4.9% | +2.5% | -0.6% | -7.4% |
| 2025-05-02 miss | 1.84 | 1.82 | -1.3% | -2.7% | -1.8% | -2.1% | -3.2% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.89 | 2.22 | +17.5% | -1.9% | -2.7% | -2.8% | -17.1% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 1.72 | 1.85 | +7.3% | +5.4% | +7.1% | +9.7% | +17.7% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 1.75 | 1.64 | -6.4% | -4.2% | -7.5% | -11.0% | -0.2% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 1.78 | 1.72 | -3.3% | +0.0% | +4.0% | +0.1% | +4.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.