APO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 3.6% | 48% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.6% | 2.8% | 63% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.5% | 2.4% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +0.1% | 6.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 2.16 | 2.11 | -2.2% | -1.1% | +2.9% | +5.3% | -0.7% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 1.88 | 1.94 | +2.9% | +2.9% | -0.6% | +1.6% | -1.2% |
| 2026-02-09 beat | 2.04 | 2.47 | +21.3% | +1.0% | +0.7% | -6.6% | -20.8% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 1.90 | 2.17 | +14.2% | +6.7% | +5.3% | +1.8% | +4.8% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 1.84 | 1.92 | +4.2% | +4.9% | +2.5% | -0.6% | -7.4% |
| 2025-05-02 miss | 1.84 | 1.82 | -1.3% | -2.7% | -1.8% | -2.1% | -3.2% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.89 | 2.22 | +17.5% | -1.9% | -2.7% | -2.8% | -17.1% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 1.72 | 1.85 | +7.3% | +5.4% | +7.1% | +9.7% | +17.7% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 1.75 | 1.64 | -6.4% | -4.2% | -7.5% | -11.0% | -0.2% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 1.78 | 1.72 | -3.3% | +0.0% | +4.0% | +0.1% | +4.0% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 1.72 | 1.91 | +10.8% | -1.3% | +1.4% | +6.2% | +1.3% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 1.76 | 1.71 | -3.0% | +7.8% | +8.0% | +1.3% | +10.8% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 1.65 | 1.70 | +3.0% | +0.8% | +5.7% | -5.0% | +0.6% |
| 2023-05-09 miss | 1.47 | 1.42 | -3.8% | +2.2% | +2.2% | -0.3% | +14.7% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 1.50 | 1.42 | -5.3% | -5.3% | -7.4% | +5.4% | -14.5% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 1.23 | 1.33 | +8.4% | +2.3% | +4.0% | +2.7% | +14.8% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 1.02 | 0.94 | -7.9% | -1.0% | +1.3% | +5.0% | -5.2% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 1.04 | 1.52 | +46.6% | +2.5% | -0.5% | -3.4% | +10.9% |
| 2022-02-11 miss | 1.09 | 1.05 | -3.9% | -2.4% | -5.7% | -2.3% | -9.3% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.10 | 1.71 | +55.4% | -0.6% | +0.1% | -0.2% | -6.0% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.71 | 1.14 | +60.1% | -1.2% | +0.4% | -2.6% | +0.5% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.58 | 0.66 | +13.7% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +5.1% | +4.6% |
| 2021-02-03 beat | 0.50 | 0.72 | +42.7% | +2.8% | +2.5% | +3.5% | -1.1% |
| 2020-10-29 miss | 0.49 | 0.47 | -3.6% | -0.4% | -2.6% | +10.1% | +15.2% |
| 2020-07-30 miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -3.0% | -0.2% | -2.8% | -0.7% | -4.5% |
| 2020-05-01 miss | 0.48 | 0.37 | -22.5% | -8.4% | -2.3% | +11.0% | +26.0% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 0.73 | 1.10 | +50.9% | +0.5% | -8.9% | +0.9% | -6.9% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | 0.58 | 0.54 | -6.7% | -2.0% | +0.4% | +3.4% | +4.7% |
| 2019-07-31 miss | 0.57 | 0.56 | -1.4% | -0.3% | -5.8% | +2.7% | +13.5% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | 0.64 | 0.50 | -21.9% | +3.0% | +0.8% | -1.8% | -9.4% |
| 2019-01-31 miss | -0.82 | -1.01 | -23.8% | +1.2% | +5.8% | +2.5% | +0.2% |
| 2018-10-31 miss | 0.94 | 0.83 | -11.7% | +1.3% | -1.7% | +7.9% | -4.2% |
| 2018-08-02 miss | 0.54 | 0.27 | -50.4% | -3.1% | -2.8% | +2.9% | +1.2% |
| 2018-05-03 miss | -0.21 | -0.30 | -40.2% | -0.8% | +3.5% | -0.4% | +4.9% |
| 2018-02-01 beat | 0.66 | 1.22 | +84.1% | +2.1% | +2.9% | -12.9% | -11.8% |
| 2017-11-01 beat | 0.59 | 1.07 | +80.5% | +4.7% | +0.2% | -1.5% | -2.1% |
| 2017-08-02 miss | 0.49 | 0.46 | -7.0% | -3.1% | -0.7% | +6.7% | +4.9% |
| 2017-04-28 beat | 0.64 | 0.82 | +27.6% | +2.1% | -1.6% | -1.2% | +2.5% |
| 2017-02-03 beat | 0.81 | 0.98 | +21.3% | +2.9% | +2.0% | +6.7% | +2.8% |
| 2016-10-28 beat | 0.46 | 0.58 | +25.1% | -1.0% | -0.4% | -2.8% | +6.1% |
| 2016-08-03 beat | 0.21 | 0.98 | +371.8% | +1.9% | +3.8% | +5.1% | +6.5% |
| 2016-05-05 miss | 0.04 | -0.18 | -521.1% | -1.6% | -0.7% | +2.8% | -1.5% |
| 2016-02-03 miss | 0.26 | 0.08 | -69.6% | +2.6% | -1.6% | +1.7% | +32.4% |
| 2015-10-28 beat | -0.11 | 0.26 | +337.5% | +1.2% | -1.2% | +4.1% | -10.3% |
| 2015-07-29 beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +8.0% | +3.4% | +0.3% | -1.0% | -8.0% |
| 2015-05-07 miss | 0.36 | 0.23 | -36.5% | -4.8% | -1.7% | -2.4% | +0.0% |
| 2015-02-05 miss | 0.38 | 0.23 | -39.4% | -2.8% | -2.4% | -4.9% | -11.0% |
| 2014-10-30 miss | 0.38 | 0.12 | -68.7% | -3.1% | -3.1% | -0.4% | +4.1% |
| 2014-08-06 miss | 0.66 | 0.52 | -21.7% | -3.3% | -2.5% | -3.2% | -6.9% |
| 2014-05-08 miss | 0.58 | 0.55 | -4.4% | -3.9% | -3.2% | -2.7% | +3.5% |
| 2014-02-07 beat | 0.81 | 1.06 | +30.1% | +0.7% | +0.4% | -3.4% | +2.8% |
| 2013-11-07 beat | 0.94 | 1.34 | +43.0% | +0.0% | -4.5% | -5.8% | -5.5% |
| 2013-08-08 miss | 0.50 | 0.50 | -0.3% | +2.2% | +0.6% | +2.4% | -4.6% |
| 2013-05-06 beat | 1.22 | 1.89 | +54.3% | +4.3% | -0.3% | -5.7% | -14.6% |
| 2013-02-08 beat | 1.05 | 1.69 | +60.8% | +8.1% | +2.4% | -2.2% | +5.3% |
| 2012-11-09 beat | 0.74 | 0.98 | +32.5% | +2.6% | +1.2% | -0.6% | +15.2% |
| 2012-08-02 beat | -0.11 | 0.05 | +144.9% | -1.1% | -3.5% | +0.2% | -1.9% |
| 2012-05-08 beat | 0.78 | 1.10 | +41.0% | +6.3% | +5.3% | -9.6% | -2.7% |
| 2012-02-10 miss | 1.41 | 0.80 | -43.2% | -7.5% | -6.1% | +0.6% | -1.0% |
| 2011-11-03 miss | -0.68 | -9.32 | -1265.7% | -6.4% | -0.4% | +1.4% | +6.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.