ARE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.1% | -0.6% | 5.8% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | +0.0% | 2.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 2.3% | 50% |
| 5-day | -4.0% | -4.0% | 8.0% | 20% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +26.2% | -2.1% | -7.8% | -1.5% | +7.9% |
| 2026-04-27 beat | 0.14 | 2.10 | +1360.0% | -3.6% | -11.3% | +8.4% | +23.9% |
| 2026-01-26 miss | 0.30 | -6.35 | -2200.8% | +0.3% | +1.7% | -7.4% | -5.2% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 0.39 | 0.50 | +28.2% | -10.4% | -19.2% | -14.2% | -14.9% |
| 2025-07-21 miss | 0.63 | 0.48 | -24.0% | +0.6% | +3.1% | -1.5% | -4.0% |
| 2025-04-28 miss | 0.60 | 0.51 | -15.5% | -2.5% | -5.7% | -1.4% | -1.8% |
| 2025-01-27 miss | 0.90 | 0.69 | -23.0% | -0.5% | -4.8% | -2.9% | +3.8% |
| 2024-10-21 miss | 0.92 | 0.87 | -5.7% | +0.9% | -1.3% | -5.4% | -11.6% |
| 2024-07-22 beat | 0.61 | 0.88 | +45.0% | -1.5% | -3.5% | -2.0% | -4.6% |
| 2024-04-22 beat | 0.63 | 0.89 | +42.1% | +2.3% | +0.8% | -3.0% | +2.8% |
| 2024-01-29 beat | 0.80 | 0.82 | +2.1% | -1.5% | -4.1% | -2.9% | +2.9% |
| 2023-10-23 miss | 0.88 | 0.87 | -1.4% | -1.1% | +1.3% | -2.6% | +9.4% |
| 2023-07-24 beat | 0.39 | 0.51 | +31.5% | +1.1% | +0.5% | -1.4% | -5.2% |
| 2023-04-24 beat | 0.79 | 0.83 | +4.6% | +0.0% | -2.8% | -0.8% | -5.1% |
| 2023-01-30 miss | 0.74 | 0.31 | -57.9% | -0.1% | +2.1% | +3.8% | -10.9% |
| 2022-10-24 miss | 0.76 | 0.35 | -54.0% | +1.4% | +5.6% | +3.2% | +8.3% |
| 2022-07-25 beat | 0.67 | 0.78 | +17.0% | +0.7% | +4.1% | +2.0% | +1.8% |
| 2022-04-25 miss | 0.88 | 0.71 | -19.7% | -1.6% | -1.2% | -5.3% | -15.9% |
| 2022-01-31 beat | 0.56 | 0.58 | +3.6% | -0.1% | +0.2% | -4.3% | -1.6% |
| 2021-10-25 miss | 0.75 | 0.70 | -6.7% | +0.1% | +0.0% | -1.7% | +0.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.