ARE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | +0.0% | 3.7% | 48% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 2.0% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.1% | 1.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.4% | -0.8% | 5.4% | 42% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +26.2% | -2.1% | -7.8% | -1.5% | +7.9% |
| 2026-04-27 beat | 0.14 | 2.10 | +1360.0% | -3.6% | -11.3% | +8.4% | +23.9% |
| 2026-01-26 miss | 0.30 | -6.35 | -2200.8% | +0.3% | +1.7% | -7.4% | -5.2% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 0.39 | 0.50 | +28.2% | -10.4% | -19.2% | -14.2% | -14.9% |
| 2025-07-21 miss | 0.63 | 0.48 | -24.0% | +0.6% | +3.1% | -1.5% | -4.0% |
| 2025-04-28 miss | 0.60 | 0.51 | -15.5% | -2.5% | -5.7% | -1.4% | -1.8% |
| 2025-01-27 miss | 0.90 | 0.69 | -23.0% | -0.5% | -4.8% | -2.9% | +3.8% |
| 2024-10-21 miss | 0.92 | 0.87 | -5.7% | +0.9% | -1.3% | -5.4% | -11.6% |
| 2024-07-22 beat | 0.61 | 0.88 | +45.0% | -1.5% | -3.5% | -2.0% | -4.6% |
| 2024-04-22 beat | 0.63 | 0.89 | +42.1% | +2.3% | +0.8% | -3.0% | +2.8% |
| 2024-01-29 beat | 0.80 | 0.82 | +2.1% | -1.5% | -4.1% | -2.9% | +2.9% |
| 2023-10-23 miss | 0.88 | 0.87 | -1.4% | -1.1% | +1.3% | -2.6% | +9.4% |
| 2023-07-24 beat | 0.39 | 0.51 | +31.5% | +1.1% | +0.5% | -1.4% | -5.2% |
| 2023-04-24 beat | 0.79 | 0.83 | +4.6% | +0.0% | -2.8% | -0.8% | -5.1% |
| 2023-01-30 miss | 0.74 | 0.31 | -57.9% | -0.1% | +2.1% | +3.8% | -10.9% |
| 2022-10-24 miss | 0.76 | 0.35 | -54.0% | +1.4% | +5.6% | +3.2% | +8.3% |
| 2022-07-25 beat | 0.67 | 0.78 | +17.0% | +0.7% | +4.1% | +2.0% | +1.8% |
| 2022-04-25 miss | 0.88 | 0.71 | -19.7% | -1.6% | -1.2% | -5.3% | -15.9% |
| 2022-01-31 beat | 0.56 | 0.58 | +3.6% | -0.1% | +0.2% | -4.3% | -1.6% |
| 2021-10-25 miss | 0.75 | 0.70 | -6.7% | +0.1% | +0.0% | -1.7% | +0.7% |
| 2021-07-26 beat | 0.61 | 0.73 | +20.7% | +2.1% | +2.3% | +2.1% | +1.5% |
| 2021-04-26 beat | 0.58 | 0.72 | +24.1% | -0.6% | -0.9% | +1.6% | -0.3% |
| 2021-02-01 miss | 0.65 | 0.62 | -3.9% | -0.4% | -1.8% | +2.9% | -5.1% |
| 2020-10-26 miss | 0.84 | 0.56 | -33.0% | -0.2% | -0.4% | -0.3% | +4.1% |
| 2020-07-27 beat | 0.54 | 0.59 | +10.3% | +1.1% | +2.0% | +1.6% | -2.0% |
| 2020-04-27 miss | 0.74 | 0.46 | -38.1% | +1.5% | +0.9% | +0.5% | +2.0% |
| 2020-02-03 beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +4.4% | +0.4% | +1.8% | +2.3% | -4.1% |
| 2019-10-28 beat | 0.20 | 0.62 | +209.1% | -0.3% | -1.6% | -0.8% | +3.8% |
| 2019-07-29 miss | 1.00 | 0.58 | -41.7% | +1.5% | +2.7% | -2.5% | -0.4% |
| 2019-04-29 miss | 0.60 | 0.55 | -8.1% | +0.4% | +1.1% | -2.0% | +2.2% |
| 2019-02-04 miss | 0.55 | 0.41 | -26.6% | +0.6% | -0.9% | +2.2% | +5.4% |
| 2018-10-29 beat | 0.57 | 0.83 | +47.2% | +0.8% | +0.6% | -0.6% | -1.3% |
| 2018-07-30 miss | 0.55 | 0.45 | -17.9% | +0.8% | +3.8% | +0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2018-04-30 miss | 0.51 | 0.47 | -8.5% | +0.8% | +3.9% | -0.8% | -3.5% |
| 2018-01-29 beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +11.7% | +0.8% | +1.0% | -5.7% | -2.5% |
| 2017-10-30 miss | 0.42 | 0.40 | -5.8% | -0.4% | +1.8% | +1.7% | +2.5% |
| 2017-07-31 miss | 0.41 | 0.40 | -2.9% | +0.4% | -0.2% | -0.3% | -1.3% |
| 2017-05-01 miss | 0.41 | 0.30 | -26.9% | +1.3% | +1.5% | -0.9% | +3.0% |
| 2017-01-30 miss | 0.41 | -0.16 | -139.4% | -0.4% | -1.2% | +2.2% | +5.6% |
| 2016-10-31 miss | 0.33 | 0.21 | -36.0% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| 2016-08-01 miss | 0.39 | 0.39 | -0.5% | -0.4% | -2.7% | +3.0% | +0.6% |
| 2016-05-02 beat | 0.35 | 0.35 | +0.2% | -1.2% | -0.5% | +2.5% | +3.8% |
| 2016-02-01 miss | 0.48 | 0.45 | -7.4% | +1.0% | -2.4% | -5.5% | +8.5% |
| 2015-11-02 miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -2.5% | -1.1% | -0.2% | -2.7% | -2.1% |
| 2015-07-27 miss | 0.47 | 0.44 | -6.6% | -1.2% | +0.0% | +0.8% | -5.5% |
| 2015-04-27 beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +4.2% | -0.2% | +0.4% | -3.2% | +0.5% |
| 2015-02-02 miss | 0.42 | 0.40 | -5.4% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -2.3% | +0.8% |
| 2014-11-03 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +7.5% | +0.3% | +1.0% | -0.1% | +3.1% |
| 2014-07-28 miss | 0.46 | 0.38 | -17.5% | -0.2% | -1.0% | -1.8% | +0.5% |
| 2014-05-05 miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -1.2% | -1.7% | +0.6% | +0.4% | +4.8% |
| 2014-02-03 beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +6.3% | -1.5% | +0.9% | +1.4% | +4.5% |
| 2013-10-28 miss | 0.36 | 0.35 | -3.2% | -0.1% | -0.4% | -2.4% | -4.0% |
| 2013-07-29 beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +14.1% | +0.5% | +0.9% | -1.0% | -10.7% |
| 2013-04-29 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +4.9% | -0.5% | +1.8% | +2.1% | -4.1% |
| 2013-02-07 beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +13.0% | -0.2% | -0.4% | -1.3% | -0.2% |
| 2012-10-26 beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +8.6% | -0.3% | -1.4% | -1.2% | -3.0% |
| 2012-07-30 miss | 0.32 | 0.32 | -1.5% | -1.7% | +1.4% | -0.3% | +0.8% |
| 2012-05-01 beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.1% | -2.2% | +0.0% | -0.8% | -10.1% |
| 2012-02-07 miss | 0.45 | 0.44 | -1.5% | -1.6% | -1.2% | -1.4% | -1.6% |
| 2011-10-25 beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +4.3% | -2.5% | -3.8% | +0.4% | -6.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.