ARE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -4.8% | -4.2% | 6.7% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | +0.1% | 3.6% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -1.4% | -1.2% | 1.7% | 30% |
| 5-day | -7.7% | -6.2% | 8.6% | 10% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +26.2% | -2.1% | -7.8% | -1.5% | +7.9% |
| 2026-04-27 beat | 0.14 | 2.10 | +1360.0% | -3.6% | -11.3% | +8.4% | +23.9% |
| 2026-01-26 miss | 0.30 | -6.35 | -2200.8% | +0.3% | +1.7% | -7.4% | -5.2% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 0.39 | 0.50 | +28.2% | -10.4% | -19.2% | -14.2% | -14.9% |
| 2025-07-21 miss | 0.63 | 0.48 | -24.0% | +0.6% | +3.1% | -1.5% | -4.0% |
| 2025-04-28 miss | 0.60 | 0.51 | -15.5% | -2.5% | -5.7% | -1.4% | -1.8% |
| 2025-01-27 miss | 0.90 | 0.69 | -23.0% | -0.5% | -4.8% | -2.9% | +3.8% |
| 2024-10-21 miss | 0.92 | 0.87 | -5.7% | +0.9% | -1.3% | -5.4% | -11.6% |
| 2024-07-22 beat | 0.61 | 0.88 | +45.0% | -1.5% | -3.5% | -2.0% | -4.6% |
| 2024-04-22 beat | 0.63 | 0.89 | +42.1% | +2.3% | +0.8% | -3.0% | +2.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.