ARLP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | +1.4% | 3.4% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +1.1% | 1.4% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | +0.2% | 1.6% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | +2.9% | 7.3% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +1.7% | -0.1% | +3.7% | +1.9% | +3.3% |
| 2026-04-27 beat | 0.29 | 0.38 | +32.1% | -1.2% | +2.2% | +3.3% | -2.0% |
| 2026-02-02 beat | 0.57 | 0.78 | +36.3% | +1.7% | +3.7% | -1.1% | +9.2% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +4.9% | +4.1% | +4.1% | +4.0% | +0.3% |
| 2025-07-28 miss | 0.60 | 0.55 | -7.6% | -5.5% | -1.7% | -2.8% | -17.3% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 0.51 | 0.62 | +21.2% | +2.1% | +0.6% | -0.4% | -4.7% |
| 2025-02-03 miss | 0.67 | 0.24 | -63.6% | -3.5% | -3.8% | -4.4% | -8.7% |
| 2024-10-28 miss | 0.82 | 0.67 | -18.1% | -1.3% | -0.5% | +3.8% | +10.5% |
| 2024-07-29 miss | 0.86 | 0.77 | -10.5% | -3.1% | -4.4% | -6.6% | -2.3% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 1.01 | 1.35 | +34.0% | +2.9% | +5.0% | +6.8% | +5.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.