ARLP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.4% | 5.1% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +0.9% | +0.9% | 3.2% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.4% | 2.4% | 47% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | -0.2% | 9.0% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +1.7% | -0.1% | +3.7% | +1.9% | +3.3% |
| 2026-04-27 beat | 0.29 | 0.38 | +32.1% | -1.2% | +2.2% | +3.3% | -2.0% |
| 2026-02-02 beat | 0.57 | 0.78 | +36.3% | +1.7% | +3.7% | -1.1% | +9.2% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +4.9% | +4.1% | +4.1% | +4.0% | +0.3% |
| 2025-07-28 miss | 0.60 | 0.55 | -7.6% | -5.5% | -1.7% | -2.8% | -17.3% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 0.51 | 0.62 | +21.2% | +2.1% | +0.6% | -0.4% | -4.7% |
| 2025-02-03 miss | 0.67 | 0.24 | -63.6% | -3.5% | -3.8% | -4.4% | -8.7% |
| 2024-10-28 miss | 0.82 | 0.67 | -18.1% | -1.3% | -0.5% | +3.8% | +10.5% |
| 2024-07-29 miss | 0.86 | 0.77 | -10.5% | -3.1% | -4.4% | -6.6% | -2.3% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 1.01 | 1.35 | +34.0% | +2.9% | +5.0% | +6.8% | +5.4% |
| 2024-01-29 miss | 1.14 | 0.88 | -22.8% | -1.0% | -5.5% | +3.1% | -7.8% |
| 2023-10-27 miss | 1.32 | 1.18 | -10.6% | -1.6% | -1.8% | +6.8% | -6.4% |
| 2023-07-31 beat | 1.30 | 1.30 | +0.3% | +1.0% | +4.0% | -2.1% | +1.6% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 1.25 | 1.45 | +16.0% | +2.4% | +0.8% | -10.7% | -17.8% |
| 2023-01-30 beat | 1.42 | 1.63 | +14.8% | +9.0% | +8.8% | -4.1% | -7.8% |
| 2022-10-31 miss | 1.54 | 1.25 | -18.7% | -1.6% | +0.2% | -0.3% | -2.3% |
| 2022-08-01 beat | 0.94 | 1.23 | +30.4% | +4.4% | +4.7% | -5.5% | +11.2% |
| 2022-05-02 miss | 0.44 | 0.28 | -36.4% | +0.2% | -1.0% | -0.7% | +15.2% |
| 2022-01-31 miss | 0.69 | 0.40 | -42.0% | -0.5% | -8.2% | -0.1% | +8.3% |
| 2021-10-25 beat | 0.36 | 0.44 | +22.2% | +2.3% | +4.9% | -3.9% | -9.7% |
| 2021-07-26 beat | 0.21 | 0.34 | +61.9% | +4.4% | +6.4% | +0.0% | +4.0% |
| 2021-04-26 miss | 0.24 | 0.19 | -19.1% | -7.0% | -8.3% | -4.5% | -2.5% |
| 2021-02-01 beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +3.9% | +8.5% | +10.7% | +14.0% | +7.5% |
| 2020-10-26 beat | -0.05 | 0.21 | +481.8% | +3.8% | +7.7% | +5.7% | +28.0% |
| 2020-07-27 beat | -0.43 | -0.37 | +14.9% | +1.5% | +0.9% | -7.6% | -2.0% |
| 2020-05-08 miss | 0.13 | 0.10 | -27.9% | -2.3% | -1.5% | -15.5% | +33.6% |
| 2020-01-27 miss | 0.22 | 0.20 | -9.1% | -2.8% | -7.2% | -6.6% | -25.4% |
| 2019-10-28 miss | 0.46 | 0.42 | -8.1% | -0.7% | -8.1% | +0.8% | -14.3% |
| 2019-07-26 miss | 0.67 | 0.44 | -33.8% | -1.1% | -0.3% | +0.1% | -11.2% |
| 2019-04-29 beat | 0.70 | 0.78 | +12.2% | +2.5% | -0.3% | +0.1% | -11.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.