AROC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +0.9% | 4.3% | 53% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.4% | 3.6% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.3% | 2.6% | 40% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.9% | 9.4% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 0.49 | 0.38 | -22.8% | -6.3% | -5.1% | -1.9% | -4.0% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 0.48 | 0.42 | -13.3% | -7.7% | -1.8% | -5.9% | -12.5% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 0.41 | 0.69 | +69.3% | +3.8% | +3.9% | +5.7% | +1.9% |
| 2025-10-28 miss | 0.42 | 0.42 | -0.8% | +1.6% | -2.8% | +0.3% | -1.6% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +0.6% | -1.8% | -3.6% | +9.1% | +15.6% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | 0.39 | 0.42 | +7.4% | -1.1% | +0.0% | +6.4% | +7.2% |
| 2025-02-24 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +10.3% | +3.1% | +2.3% | -4.9% | +1.7% |
| 2024-11-11 miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -3.2% | +1.7% | +2.6% | +1.3% | +6.7% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +3.3% | -2.4% | -3.6% | -11.0% | -3.5% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +22.2% | +6.3% | +1.6% | +3.4% | +3.8% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +9.4% | +1.2% | +4.8% | -2.9% | +7.1% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +13.9% | +0.6% | +4.6% | -1.5% | +6.9% |
| 2023-07-31 beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +20.7% | -1.1% | +9.5% | +1.1% | -0.2% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.11 | 0.11 | +4.8% | -3.1% | -4.6% | +4.3% | +1.9% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +16.7% | +1.2% | +6.1% | +13.5% | -6.1% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 0.04 | 0.10 | +150.0% | +0.4% | +7.5% | +7.5% | +10.9% |
| 2022-08-02 miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -8.3% | +1.9% | -3.9% | -6.2% | -11.0% |
| 2022-05-09 miss | 0.06 | 0.01 | -83.3% | +1.3% | +4.0% | +7.5% | +16.0% |
| 2021-11-01 miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -14.3% | +1.2% | +0.2% | +3.0% | -11.7% |
| 2021-07-29 | 0.06 | 0.06 | — | +0.1% | -1.8% | -5.2% | -10.0% |
| 2021-04-29 miss | 0.08 | 0.03 | -60.0% | -2.3% | -3.8% | +3.9% | +1.0% |
| 2021-02-22 beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +38.0% | -2.5% | -2.9% | +4.3% | -5.3% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | 0.06 | 0.13 | +122.8% | +2.1% | +4.8% | +12.6% | +28.9% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.14 | 0.19 | +36.4% | -5.1% | -4.9% | +9.0% | -1.5% |
| 2020-05-04 beat | 0.11 | 0.16 | +45.7% | +8.0% | -0.7% | +9.0% | +53.2% |
| 2020-02-19 beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +16.9% | +2.3% | +3.6% | -22.4% | -59.1% |
| 2019-10-28 beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +18.6% | +2.1% | +2.0% | -0.1% | -13.4% |
| 2019-07-29 beat | 0.17 | 0.26 | +54.7% | -3.5% | +5.0% | -14.9% | -14.2% |
| 2019-04-29 beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +25.1% | -0.2% | -4.9% | -4.6% | -10.3% |
| 2019-02-19 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +27.0% | +6.3% | +6.6% | -8.5% | -4.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.