AROC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +1.6% | 6.6% | 53% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.2% | 7.0% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 3.0% | 48% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.9% | 13.5% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 0.49 | 0.38 | -22.8% | -6.3% | -5.1% | -1.9% | -4.0% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 0.48 | 0.42 | -13.3% | -7.7% | -1.8% | -5.9% | -12.5% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 0.41 | 0.69 | +69.3% | +3.8% | +3.9% | +5.7% | +1.9% |
| 2025-10-28 miss | 0.42 | 0.42 | -0.8% | +1.6% | -2.8% | +0.3% | -1.6% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +0.6% | -1.8% | -3.6% | +9.1% | +15.6% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | 0.39 | 0.42 | +7.4% | -1.1% | +0.0% | +6.4% | +7.2% |
| 2025-02-24 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +10.3% | +3.1% | +2.3% | -4.9% | +1.7% |
| 2024-11-11 miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -3.2% | +1.7% | +2.6% | +1.3% | +6.7% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +3.3% | -2.4% | -3.6% | -11.0% | -3.5% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +22.2% | +6.3% | +1.6% | +3.4% | +3.8% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +9.4% | +1.2% | +4.8% | -2.9% | +7.1% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +13.9% | +0.6% | +4.6% | -1.5% | +6.9% |
| 2023-07-31 beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +20.7% | -1.1% | +9.5% | +1.1% | -0.2% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.11 | 0.11 | +4.8% | -3.1% | -4.6% | +4.3% | +1.9% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +16.7% | +1.2% | +6.1% | +13.5% | -6.1% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 0.04 | 0.10 | +150.0% | +0.4% | +7.5% | +7.5% | +10.9% |
| 2022-08-02 miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -8.3% | +1.9% | -3.9% | -6.2% | -11.0% |
| 2022-05-09 miss | 0.06 | 0.01 | -83.3% | +1.3% | +4.0% | +7.5% | +16.0% |
| 2021-11-01 miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -14.3% | +1.2% | +0.2% | +3.0% | -11.7% |
| 2021-07-29 | 0.06 | 0.06 | — | +0.1% | -1.8% | -5.2% | -10.0% |
| 2021-04-29 miss | 0.08 | 0.03 | -60.0% | -2.3% | -3.8% | +3.9% | +1.0% |
| 2021-02-22 beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +38.0% | -2.5% | -2.9% | +4.3% | -5.3% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | 0.06 | 0.13 | +122.8% | +2.1% | +4.8% | +12.6% | +28.9% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.14 | 0.19 | +36.4% | -5.1% | -4.9% | +9.0% | -1.5% |
| 2020-05-04 beat | 0.11 | 0.16 | +45.7% | +8.0% | -0.7% | +9.0% | +53.2% |
| 2020-02-19 beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +16.9% | +2.3% | +3.6% | -22.4% | -59.1% |
| 2019-10-28 beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +18.6% | +2.1% | +2.0% | -0.1% | -13.4% |
| 2019-07-29 beat | 0.17 | 0.26 | +54.7% | -3.5% | +5.0% | -14.9% | -14.2% |
| 2019-04-29 beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +25.1% | -0.2% | -4.9% | -4.6% | -10.3% |
| 2019-02-19 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +27.0% | +6.3% | +6.6% | -8.5% | -4.4% |
| 2018-10-31 beat | 0.07 | 0.12 | +77.4% | +3.0% | +2.9% | +1.3% | +0.4% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 0.07 | 0.14 | +107.7% | -1.1% | +1.5% | -3.7% | -6.6% |
| 2018-05-03 beat | -0.03 | 0.02 | +160.0% | +0.9% | -5.6% | +13.7% | +15.2% |
| 2018-02-22 beat | -0.07 | — | +100.0% | +7.3% | +2.8% | +7.1% | +0.0% |
| 2017-11-02 miss | -0.03 | -0.09 | -243.8% | -3.8% | -6.7% | -2.7% | -8.1% |
| 2017-08-01 beat | -0.15 | -0.03 | +79.5% | +5.0% | -2.3% | -6.5% | -7.0% |
| 2017-05-04 miss | -0.06 | -0.11 | -98.9% | -1.7% | -8.1% | +3.7% | -0.5% |
| 2017-02-23 miss | -0.05 | -0.06 | -20.0% | -3.8% | -12.3% | -2.9% | -12.9% |
| 2017-02-09 beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +14.3% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.6% | -24.8% |
| 2016-02-25 beat | -0.09 | 0.08 | +186.5% | +17.0% | -8.1% | +49.1% | +87.4% |
| 2015-11-03 miss | 0.07 | -0.45 | -713.7% | +0.0% | +2.4% | -49.2% | -56.4% |
| 2015-08-04 beat | 0.14 | 0.22 | +52.5% | +1.0% | +5.1% | -2.1% | -17.2% |
| 2015-05-05 beat | 0.17 | 0.27 | +58.8% | -0.5% | -4.0% | -6.2% | -4.1% |
| 2015-02-26 miss | 0.36 | 0.31 | -14.0% | -0.7% | +4.7% | -3.9% | -2.5% |
| 2014-11-04 miss | 0.28 | 0.25 | -11.6% | -4.9% | -10.3% | -1.3% | -5.2% |
| 2014-08-05 miss | 0.17 | -0.07 | -140.9% | -0.6% | +4.4% | -3.1% | +3.6% |
| 2014-05-06 beat | 0.13 | 0.20 | +58.4% | +1.9% | +5.2% | -4.6% | -3.2% |
| 2014-02-25 beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +17.5% | +2.5% | +4.8% | +7.7% | +11.9% |
| 2013-11-05 beat | 0.21 | 0.34 | +61.6% | -0.4% | +6.3% | +4.4% | +5.4% |
| 2013-08-06 beat | 0.09 | 0.31 | +235.0% | +0.0% | -7.6% | -4.5% | -5.6% |
| 2013-05-02 beat | 0.03 | 0.21 | +520.8% | +1.3% | +3.7% | +6.7% | +8.7% |
| 2013-02-26 beat | 0.01 | 0.09 | +581.8% | +0.9% | +6.6% | +4.8% | +11.1% |
| 2012-11-01 beat | -0.10 | 0.02 | +120.7% | +1.3% | +6.6% | -6.0% | -1.6% |
| 2012-08-02 miss | -0.38 | -0.48 | -25.6% | -1.9% | +2.4% | +22.7% | +22.0% |
| 2012-05-03 beat | -0.52 | -0.43 | +17.4% | +4.4% | -0.1% | -3.6% | -19.6% |
| 2012-02-23 beat | -0.43 | -0.14 | +67.6% | +11.5% | +19.2% | +0.0% | -3.0% |
| 2011-11-03 miss | -0.41 | -0.48 | -15.9% | +1.0% | +20.7% | +3.2% | -0.1% |
| 2011-08-04 miss | -0.40 | -0.42 | -4.6% | -1.8% | -20.0% | -20.6% | -20.4% |
| 2011-05-05 beat | -0.55 | -0.45 | +17.8% | -0.3% | -1.3% | -2.9% | -6.9% |
| 2011-02-24 miss | -0.34 | -0.51 | -48.6% | -3.1% | -4.0% | +3.3% | +6.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.